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Debt levels in the eurozone have reached new record highs. The member countries have tried to cushion the economic consequences of the corona pandemic with a massive increase in government spending. End of 2021 public debt in relation to GDP will approach 100% on average. There are various calls to abolish or soften the Maastricht rules of limiting sovereign debt. We see the risk of a new sovereign debt crisis in this decade if it is not possible to bring public debt down to an acceptable level. Our new fiscal rule would be suitable and appropriate for this purpose, because obviously the Maastricht criteria have failed. In contrast to the rigid 3% Maastricht-criterion, our rule is flexible and it addresses the main problem: excessively high public debt ratios. And it lowers the existing incentives for highly indebted governments to exert expansionary pressure on monetary policy. If obeyed strictly, our rule reinforces the snowball effect and reduces the excessively high debt ratios within a manageable period, even if nominal growth is weak. This is confirmed by simulations with different scenarios as well as with the hypothetical application of the new fiscal rule to eurozone economies from 2022 to 2026. Finally, we take up the recent proposal by ESM economists to increase the permissible debt ratio from 60 to 100% of GDP in the eurozone.
In a parsimonious regime switching model, we find strong evidence that expected consumption growth varies over time. Adding inflation as a second variable, we uncover two states in which expected consumption growth is low, one with high and one with negative expected inflation. Embedded in a general equilibrium asset pricing model with learning, these dynamics replicate the observed time variation in stock return volatilities and stock- bond return correlations. They also provide an alternative derivation for a measure of time-varying disaster risk suggested by Wachter (2013), implying that both the disaster and the long-run risk paradigm can be extended towards explaining movements in the stock-bond correlation.
This article compares the three initial safety nets spanned by the European Union in response to the Covid-19 crisis: SURE, the Pandemic Crisis Support, and the European Guarantee Fund. It compares their design regarding scope, generosity, target groups, implementation, the types of solidarity and conditionality, and asks how they reflect on core-periphery relations in the EU. The article finds that the most important factor in all three instruments is risk-sharing between member states, even though SURE and the EGF display elements of fiscal solidarity. Finally, the article shows that Euro crisis countries from the South are the main recipients of financial aid, while Central and East European countries receive significantly less assistance and core countries in the North and West have no need for them.
MANY PEOPLE CLAIM THAT FIRMS NEED TO EMBRACE DIGITAL TECHNOLOGIES. YET, WE KNOW LITTLE ABOUT DIGITAL EMBRACEMENT, ITS ANTECEDENTS, AND ECONOMIC CONSEQUENCES. THIS ARTICLE PROPOSES A TEXTUAL APPROACH TO MEASURE DIGITAL EMBRACEMENT AND APPLIES IT IN AN EMPIRICAL STUDY COVERING 2,278 PUBLICLY LISTED U.S. FIRMS OVER 17 YEARS. THE RESULTS OUTLINE A VAST HETEROGENEITY IN FIRMS’ DIGITAL EMBRACEMENT IN AND ACROSS INDUSTRIES. REMARKABLY, A HIGHER DIGITAL EMBRACEMENT PREDICTS HIGHER FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE.
RECENTLY, A NEW CLASS OF SYSTEMS FOR SHARED AND COLLABORATIVE DATA MANAGEMENT HAS GAINED MORE AND MORE TRACTION. IN CONTRAST TO CLASSICAL DATA BASE MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS (DBMS), SYSTEMS FOR SHARED DATA NEED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL GUARANTEES TO ENSURE THE INTEGRITY OF DATA AND TRANSACTION EXECUTION. IN THIS PAPER, WE PRESENT TRUSTDBLE, A NEW DBMS THAT EXTENDS THE ACID PROPERTIES (I.E., ATOMICITY, CONSISTENCY, ISOLATION, DURABILITY) USED BY CLASSICAL DBMSS WITH A NEW VERIFIABILITY COMPONENT TO ADDRESS THESE NEW REQUIREMENTS.
Jacob Hetzel : But This Time It’s Different – the Rise of the Retail Investor
Carsten Binnig, Muhammad El-Hindi, Simon Karrer, Benedikt Völker : TRUSTDBLE: Towards a New Class of DBMSs for Data Sharing
Simeng Han, Alexander Hillert, Bernd Skiera : Digital Embracement of Firms: Measurement, Antecedents, and Financial Consequences
Interview with Christina Sell : The Role of ESG Data in the Sustainable Transformation of the Real Economy