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The ENVISAT validation programme for the atmospheric instruments MIPAS, SCIAMACHY and GOMOS is based on a number of balloon-borne, aircraft, satellite and ground-based correlative measurements. In particular the activities of validation scientists were coordinated by ESA within the ENVISAT Stratospheric Aircraft and Balloon Campaign or ESABC. As part of a series of similar papers on other species [this issue] and in parallel to the contribution of the individual validation teams, the present paper provides a synthesis of comparisons performed between MIPAS CH4 and N2O profiles produced by the current ESA operational software (Instrument Processing Facility version 4.61 or IPF v4.61, full resolution MIPAS data covering the period 9 July 2002 to 26 March 2004) and correlative measurements obtained from balloon and aircraft experiments as well as from satellite sensors or from ground-based instruments. In the middle stratosphere, no significant bias is observed between MIPAS and correlative measurements, and MIPAS is providing a very consistent and global picture of the distribution of CH4 and N2O in this region. In average, the MIPAS CH4 values show a small positive bias in the lower stratosphere of about 5%. A similar situation is observed for N2O with a positive bias of 4%. In the lower stratosphere/upper troposphere (UT/LS) the individual used MIPAS data version 4.61 still exhibits some unphysical oscillations in individual CH4 and N2O profiles caused by the processing algorithm (with almost no regularization). Taking these problems into account, the MIPAS CH4 and N2O profiles are behaving as expected from the internal error estimation of IPF v4.61 and the estimated errors of the correlative measurements.
Stocks are exposed to the risk of sudden downward jumps. Additionally, a crash in one stock (or index) can increase the risk of crashes in other stocks (or indices). Our paper explicitly takes this contagion risk into account and studies its impact on the portfolio decision of a CRRA investor both in complete and in incomplete market settings. We find that the investor significantly adjusts his portfolio when contagion is more likely to occur. Capturing the time dimension of contagion, i.e. the time span between jumps in two stocks or stock indices, is thus of first-order importance when analyzing portfolio decisions. Investors ignoring contagion completely or accounting for contagion while ignoring its time dimension suffer large and economically significant utility losses. These losses are larger in complete than in incomplete markets, and the investor might be better off if he does not trade derivatives. Furthermore, we emphasize that the risk of contagion has a crucial impact on investors' security demands, since it reduces their ability to diversify their portfolios.
We provide explicit solutions to life-cycle utility maximization problems simultaneously involving dynamic decisions on investments in stocks and bonds, consumption of perishable goods, and the rental and the ownership of residential real estate. House prices, stock prices, interest rates, and the labor income of the decision-maker follow correlated stochastic processes. The preferences of the individual are of the Epstein-Zin recursive structure and depend on consumption of both perishable goods and housing services. The explicit consumption and investment strategies are simple and intuitive and are thoroughly discussed and illustrated in the paper. For a calibrated version of the model we find, among other things, that the fairly high correlation between labor income and house prices imply much larger life-cycle variations in the desired exposure to house price risks than in the exposure to the stock and bond markets. We demonstrate that the derived closed-form strategies are still very useful if the housing positions are only reset infrequently and if the investor is restricted from borrowing against future income. Our results suggest that markets for REITs or other financial contracts facilitating the hedging of house price risks will lead to non-negligible but moderate improvements of welfare.
This paper relates recursive utility in continuous time to its discrete-time origins and provides a rigorous and intuitive alternative to a heuristic approach presented in [Duffie, Epstein 1992], who formally define recursive utility in continuous time via backward stochastic differential equations (stochastic differential utility). Furthermore, we show that the notion of Gâteaux differentiability of certainty equivalents used in their paper has to be replaced by a different concept. Our approach allows us to address the important issue of normalization of aggregators in non-Brownian settings. We show that normalization is always feasible if the certainty equivalent of the aggregator is of expected utility type. Conversely, we prove that in general L´evy frameworks this is essentially also necessary, i.e. aggregators that are not of expected utility type cannot be normalized in general. Besides, for these settings we clarify the relationship of our approach to stochastic differential utility and, finally, establish dynamic programming results. JEL Classifications: D81, D91, C61
1.Vermehrung der Sprachhürden in einer Union, die mit dem Zweck, alle Menschen trennende Hürden abzuschaffen, gegründet ist, als unerwünschtes Paradox. 2.Die durch diese Tatsache bestimmte Notwendigkeit einer für internationalen Umgang zu verwendenden Sprache. 3.Unannehmbarkeit der Verwendung jedweder heute gebräuchlichen Nationalsprache als Mittels des internationalen Umgangs in demokratischer Gesellschaft (Unbilliges Vorrecht). 4.Unannehmbarkeit der Verwendung jedweder künstlichen Sprache als eines Internationalumgangs-Mittels in Gesellschaft, die früher eine traditions- und wirkungsreiche allgemeine Sprache besaß (Kultur-historische Vergesslichkeit). 5.Latein als diese allgemeine Sprache. 6.Ursachen der Langlebigkeit des Lateins im nachantiken Europa: a) äußere: Latein als Sprache des antiken Erbes und der kirchlichen Tradition); b) innere: Latein als Schöpfung des hellenischen Geistes außer Hellas. 7.Ursachen des Verfalls der Latinität im neueren Europa: a) soziale: Kulturelle Gleichmachung); b) ästhetische: Romantisch-dekadente Neigung zum Unstetigen, Unbestimmten und Zweideutigen. 8.Was soll man heute machen, um das neue Leben dem Latein einzuflößen? – Linguistische Bemühungen (Verfassen und Publizieren der so oder so mit Lateinkenntnis verknüpften Forschungswerke und Lehrmittel in lateinischer Sprache, um damit dem Lateinstudieren ein praktisches Interesse zu geben, sowie Vorbereitung einer möglichst offenen und breiten Diskussion über das Internationalsprache-Problem) mit der ästhetisch- kulturellen Erklärung vereinen.
This thesis contributes to the field of soft matter research and studies the importance of hydrodynamic interactions during free-solution electrophoresis of linear polyelectrolytes by means of coarse-grained molecular dynamics simulations including full electro-hydrodynamic interactions. The center of attention is the specific role of hydrodynamic interactions on the electrophoretic behaviour of charged macromolecules. Points of interest are the dependence of hydrodynamic interactions on the chain length, the chain flexibility and the surrounding counterions, and their combined influence on important observables such as the static chain conformations and the dynamic transport coefficients, i.e., the diffusion and the electrophoretic mobility. These problems are addressed by extensive computer simulations that are quantitatively matched with experimental results. Existing theoretical predictions are carefully examined and are augmented by the observations in this thesis.
Anschleichen an Übernahmeziele mittels Cash Settled Equity Derivaten : ein Regelungsvorschlag
(2009)
Noch ist das Risikobegrenzungsgesetz, das unter anderem neue Meldepflichten in das Wertpapierhandelsgesetz (WpHG) einführt, nicht vollständig in Kraft getreten. Gleichwohl wird bereits angesichts aktueller Entwicklungen auf dem internationalen und deutschen Übernahmemarkt in Artikeln der Fachpresse und im kapitalmarktrechtlichen Schrifttum die erneute Überarbeitung des wertpapierhandels- und wertpapierübernahmerechtlichen Meldesystems gefordert. Diese Forderung ist berechtigt. Denn im Risikobegrenzungsgesetz, dem zeitlich letzten Versuch des Gesetzgebers, die Transparenz des Wertpapierhandels zu erhöhen, konnte die Chance nicht genutzt werden, das wertpapierhandelsrechtliche Meldesystem an eine neuere Praxis auf den Finanzmärkten anzupassen.
The paper aims at presenting research about Neo-Conservatism, in particular about the origin(s), history of development, ideas, and foreign policy goals. The core argument of the paper is that the discipline of International Relations (IR), in particular the North American Research and the Peace and Conflict Research, should take the Neoconservatives seriously. Three arguments can be made for this: First of all, Neoconservatives such as Robert Kagan, Charles Krauthammer, and Normen Podhoretz are participating in the debates about US foreign policy, and they introduce their ideas (e.g. "democracy promotion", "unipolar moment", and "benevolent empire") into the discourse. The foreign policy of the Reagan administration as well as the foreign policy of George W. Bush was highly influenced by neoconservative ideas. To sum up, Neo-Conservatism is the fourth influential school of US foreign policy beside Isolationism, Liberal Internationalism, and Realism. Secondly, Neoconservatives are proponents of a war-prone-US foreign policy, and advocates of the "war on terror" and the Iraq War. And finally, Neoconservatives are characterized by ideas, in particular the idea of democracy promotion, as the purpose of American politics and historic mission. Along with this, a neoconservative misunderstanding of IR theories becomes apparent. The "Democrat Realist" Krauthammer and the "Wilsonianist" Podhoretz both refer to "Realism", "Liberalism" and Wilson’s doctrine "to make the world safe for democracy" in a way which is not only misleading, but deceptive. Neoconservatives suggest that Realism is a sole power politics-theory without normative bias, and that the scholars of the liberal peace theory as well as Wilson and his successors claim for a policy of democracy promotion by using force and waging war. Against this background, a critical examination with Neoconservatism is presented in the paper. To reveal the neoconservative misunderstanding of IR discipline and its two important school of thoughts, the few similarities but numerous differences between Neo-Conservatism on the one hand and realist and liberal approaches in IR on the other hand are worked out.