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Background: The aim of this study was to identify pre-operative parameters able to predict length of stay (LoS) based on clinical data and patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) from a scorecard database in patients with significant aortic stenosis who underwent TAVI (transfemoral aortic valve implantation). Methods: 302 participants (51.7% males, age range 78.2–84.2 years.) were prospectively recruited. After computing the median LoS value (=6 days, range = 5–8 days), we implemented a decision tree algorithm by setting dichotomized values at median LoS as the dependent variable and assessed baseline clinical variables and PROMs (Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS), EuroQol-5 Dimension-5 Levels (EQ-5D) and Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire (KCCQ)) as potential predictors. Results: Among clinical parameters, only peripheral arterial disease (p = 0.029, HR = 1.826) and glomerular filtration rate (GFR, cut-off < 33 mL/min/1.73 m2, p = 0.003, HR = 2.252) were predictive of LoS. Additionally, two PROMs (CFS; cut-off = 3, p < 0.001, HR = 1.324 and KCCQ; cut-off = 30, p = 0.003, HR = 2.274) were strong predictors. Further, a risk score for LoS (RS_LoS) was calculated based on these predictors. Patients with RS_LoS = 0 had a median LoS of 5 days; patients RS_LoS ≥ 3 had a median LoS of 8 days. Conclusions: based on the pre-operative values of the above four predictors, a personalized prediction of LoS after TAVI can be achieved.
Aims: Systemic inflammatory response, identified by increased total leucocyte counts, was shown to be a strong predictor of mortality after transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI). Yet the mechanisms of inflammation-associated poor outcome after TAVI are unclear. Therefore, the present study aimed at investigating individual inflammatory signatures and functional heterogeneity of circulating myeloid and T-lymphocyte subsets and their impact on 1 year survival in a single-centre cohort of patients with severe aortic stenosis undergoing TAVI. Methods and results: One hundred twenty-nine consecutive patients with severe symptomatic aortic stenosis admitted for transfemoral TAVI were included. Blood samples were obtained at baseline, immediately after, and 24 h and 3 days after TAVI, and these were analysed for inflammatory and cardiac biomarkers. Myeloid and T-lymphocyte subsets were measured using flow cytometry. The inflammatory parameters were first analysed as continuous variables; and in case of association with outcome and area under receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) ≥ 0.6, the values were dichotomized using optimal cut-off points. Several baseline inflammatory parameters, including high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP; HR = 1.37, 95% CI: 1.15–1.63; P < 0.0001) and IL-6 (HR = 1.02, 95% CI: 1.01–1.03; P = 0.003), lower counts of Th2 (HR = 0.95, 95% CI: 0.91–0.99; P = 0.009), and increased percentages of Th17 cells (HR = 1.19, 95% CI: 1.02–1.38; P = 0.024) were associated with 12 month all-cause mortality. Among postprocedural parameters, only increased post-TAVI counts of non-classical monocytes immediately after TAVI were predictive of outcome (HR = 1.03, 95% CI: 1.01–1.05; P = 0.003). The occurrence of SIRS criteria within 48 h post-TAVI showed no significant association with 12 month mortality (HR = 0.57, 95% CI: 0.13–2.43, P = 0.45). In multivariate analysis of discrete or dichotomized clinical and inflammatory variables, the presence of diabetes mellitus (HR = 3.50; 95% CI: 1.42–8.62; P = 0.006), low left ventricular (LV) ejection fraction (HR = 3.16; 95% CI: 1.35–7.39; P = 0.008), increased baseline hsCRP (HR = 5.22; 95% CI: 2.09–13.01; P < 0.0001), and low baseline Th2 cell counts (HR = 8.83; 95% CI: 3.02–25.80) were significant predictors of death. The prognostic value of the linear prediction score calculated of these parameters was superior to the Society of Thoracic Surgeons score (AUC: 0.88; 95% CI: 0.78–0.99 vs. 0.75; 95% CI: 0.64–0.86, respectively; P = 0.036). Finally, when analysing LV remodelling outcomes, ROC curve analysis revealed that low numbers of Tregs (P = 0.017; AUC: 0.69) and increased Th17/Treg ratio (P = 0.012; AUC: 0.70) were predictive of adverse remodelling after TAVI. Conclusions: Our findings demonstrate an association of specific pre-existing inflammatory phenotypes with increased mortality and adverse LV remodelling after TAVI. Distinct monocyte and T-cell signatures might provide additive biomarkers to improve pre-procedural risk stratification in patients referred to TAVI for severe aortic stenosis.
Background and Objectives: We tested if a novel combination of predictors could improve the accuracy of outcome prediction after transfemoral transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI). Materials and Methods: This prospective study recruited 169 participants (49% female; median age 81 years). The primary endpoint was midterm mortality; secondary endpoints were acute Valve Academic Research Consortium (VARC)-3 complication rate and post-TAVI in-hospital length of stay (LoS). EuroSCORE II (ESII), comorbidities (e.g., coronary artery disease), eGFR (estimated glomerular filtration rate; based on cystatin C), hemoglobin, creatinine, N-Terminal pro-Brain Natriuretic Peptide (NTproBNP) levels and patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs, namely EuroQol-5-Dimension-5-Levels, EQ5D5L; Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire, KCCQ; clinical frailty scale, CFS) at baseline were tested as predictors. Regression (uni- and multi-variate Cox; linear; binary logistic) and receiver operating characteristic (ROC)-curve analysis were applied. Results: Within a median follow-up of 439 (318–585) days, 12 participants died (7.1%). Independent predictors of mortality using multivariate Cox regression were baseline eGFR (p = 0.001) and KCCQ (p = 0.037). Based on these predictors, a Linear Prediction Score (LPS1) was calculated. The LPS1-area under the curve (AUC)-value (0.761) was significantly higher than the ESII-AUC value (0.597; p = 0.035). Independent predictors for LoS > 6 days (the median LoS) were eGFR (p = 0.028), NTproBNP (p = 0.034), and EQ5D5L values (p = 0.002); a respective calculated LPS2 provided an AUC value of 0.677 (p < 0.001). Eighty participants (47.3%) experienced complications. Male sex predicted complications only in the univariate analysis. Conclusions: The combination of KCCQ and eGFR can better predict midterm mortality than ES II alone. Combining eGFR, NTproBNP, and EQ5D5L can reliably predict LoS after TAVI. This novel method improves personalized TAVI risk stratification and hence may help reduce post-TAVI risk.