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Some have argued that recent increases in credit risk transfer are desirable because they improve the diversification of risk. Others have suggested that they may be undesirable if they increase the risk of financial crises. Using a model with banking and insurance sectors, we show that credit risk transfer can be beneficial when banks face uniform demand for liquidity. However, when they face idiosyncratic liquidity risk and hedge this risk in an interbank market, credit risk transfer can be detrimental to welfare. It can lead to contagion between the two sectors and increase the risk of crises. Klassifikation: G21, G22
How do markets spread risk when events are unknown or unknowable and where not anticipated in an insurance contract? While the policyholder can "hold up" the insurer for extra contractual payments, the continuing gains from trade on a single contract are often too small to yield useful coverage. By acting as a repository of the reputations of the parties, we show the brokers provide a coordinating mechanism to leverage the collective hold up power of policyholders. This extends both the degree of implicit and explicit coverage. The role is reflected in the terms of broker engagement, specifically in the ownership by the broker of the renewal rights. Finally, we argue that brokers can be motivated to play this role when they receive commissions that are contingent on insurer profits. This last feature questions a recent, well publicized, attack on broker compensation by New York attorney general, Elliot Spitzer. Klassifikation: G22, G24, L14
Biophysical investigation of the ligand-induced assembling of the human type I interferon receptor
(2005)
Type I interferons (IFNs) elicit antiviral, antiproliferative and immunmodulatory responses through binding to a shared receptor consisting of the transmembrane proteins ifnar1 and ifnar2. Differential signaling by different interferons – in particular IFNalpha´s and IFNbeta – suggest different modes of receptor engagement. In this work either single ligand-receptor interactions or the formation of the extracellular part of a signaling complex were investigated referring to thermodynamics, kinetics, stoichiometry and structural organization. Initially an expression and purification strategy for the extracellular domain of ifnar1 (ifnar1-EC) using Sf9 insect cells yielding in mg amounts of glycosylated protein was established. Using reflectometric interference spectroscopy (RIfS) the interactions between IFNalpha2/beta and ifnar1-EC and ifnar2-EC was studied in order to understand the individual energetic contributions within the ternary complex. For IFNalpha2 a Kd of 5 µM for the interaction with ifnar1-EC was determined. Substantially tighter binding of IFNbeta with both ifnar2-EC and ifnar1-EC compared to IFNalpha2 was observed. For neither IFNalpha2 nor IFNbeta stabilization of the complex with ifnar1-EC in presence of soluble ifnar2-EC was detectable. In addition, no direct interaction between ifnar2 and ifnar1 was could be shown. Thus, stem-stem interactions between the extracellular domains of ifnar1 and ifnar2 do not seem to play a role for ternary complex formation. Furthermore, ligand-induced cross-talk between ifnar1-EC and ifnar2-EC being tethered onto solid-supported, fluid lipid bilayers was investigated by RIfS and total internal reflection fluorescence spectroscopy. A very stable binding of IFNalpha2 at high receptor surface concentrations was observed with an apparent kd approximately 200-times lower than for ifnar2-EC alone. This apparent kd was strongly dependent on the surface concentration of the receptor components, suggesting kinetic rather than static stabilization, which was corroborated by competition experiments. These results indicate that signaling is activated by transient cross-talk between ifnar1 and ifnar2, which is by several orders of magnitude more efficiently engaged by IFNbeta than by IFNalpha2. With respect to differential recognition of different IFNs ifnar1-EC was dissected into sub-fragments containing different of the four Ig-like domains. The appropriate folding and glycosylation of these proteins, also purified in mg amounts were confirmed by SDS-PAGE, size exclusion chromatography and CD-spectroscopy. Surprisingly, only one construct containing all three N-terminal Ig-like domains was active in terms of ligand binding, indicating that these domains were required. Competitive binding of IFNalpha2 and IFNbeta to both this fragment and ifnar1-EC was demonstrated. Cellular binding assays with different fragments, however, highlight the key role of the membrane-proximal Ig-like domain for the formation of an in situ IFN-receptor complex and the ensuing signal activation. Even substitution with Ig-like domains from homologous cytokine receptors did not restore high-affinity ligand binding. Receptor assembling analysis on supported lipid bilayer revealed that appropriate orientation of the receptor is required, which is controlled by the membrane-proximal Ig-domain. All results indicate that differential signalling is encoded by the efficiency of signalling complex formation, which is controlled by the binding affinity of IFNs to the extracellular domains of ifnar1 and 2.
Here I analyse 23 populations of D. galeata, a large-lake cladoceran, distributed mainly across the Palaearctic. I detected high levels of clonal diversity and population differentiation using variation at six microsatellite loci across Europe. Most populations were characterised by deviations from H-W equilibrium and significant heterozygote deficiencies. Observed heterozygote deficiencies might be a consequence of simultaneous hatching of individuals produced during different times of the year or of the coexistence of ecologically and genetically differentiated subpopulations. A significant isolation by distance was only found over large geographic distances (> 700 km). This pattern is mainly due to the high genetic differentiation among neighbouring populations. My results suggest that historic populations of Daphnia were once interconnected by gene flow but current populations are now largely isolated. Thus local ecological conditions which determine the level of biparental sexual reproduction and local adaptation are the main factors mediating population structure of D. galeata. The population genetic structure and diversity in D. galeata was investigated at a European scale using six microsatellite loci and 12S rDNA sequence data to infer and compare historical and contemporary patterns of gene flow. D. galeata has the potential for long-distance dispersal via ephippial resting eggs by wind and other dispersing vectors (waterfowl), but shows in general strong population differentiation even among neighbouring populations. A total of 427 individuals were analysed for microsatellite and 85 individuals for mitochondrial (mtDNA) sequence data from 12 populations across Europe. I detected genetic differentiation among populations across Europe and locations within sampling regions for both genetic marker systems (average values: mtDNA FST = 0.574; microsatellite FST = 0.389), resulting in a lack of isolation by distance. Furthermore, several microsatellite alleles and one haplotype were shared across populations. Partitioning of molecular variance was inconsistant for both marker systems. Microsatellite variation was higher within than among populations, whereas mtDNA data yielded an inverse pattern. Relative high levels of nuclear DNA diversity were found across Europe. The amount of mitochondrial diversity was low in Spain, Hungary and Denmark. Gene flow analysis at a European scale did not reveal typical pattern of population recolonization in the light of postglacial colonization hypotheses. Populations, which recently experienced an expansion or population-bottleneck were observed both in middle and northern Europe. Since these populations revealed high genetic diversity in both marker systems, I suggest these areas to represent postglacial zones of secondary contact among divergent lineages of D. galeata. In order to reveal the relationship between population genetic structure of D. galeata and the relative contribution of environmental factors, I used a statistical framework based on canonical correspondence analysis. Although I detected no single ecological gradient mediating the genetic differentiation in either lake regions, it is noteworthy that the same ecological factors were significantly correlated with intra- and interspecific genetic variation of D. galeata. For example, I found a relationship between genetic variation of D. galeata and differentiation with higher and lower trophic levels (phytoplankton, submerged macrophytes and fish) and a relationship between clonal variation and species diversity within Cladocera. Variance partitioning had only a minor contribution of each environmental category (abiotic, biomass/density and diversity) to genetic diversity of D. galeata, while the largest proportion of variation was explained by shared components. My work illustrates the important role of ecological differentiation and adaptation in structuring genetic variation, and it highlights the need for approaches incorporating a landscape context for population divergence.
Die vorliegende Arbeit beschäftigt sich mit der Charakterisierung des ALTRO Chips (ALICE TPC Readout), der ein integraler und wichtiger Bestandteil der Auslesekette des TPC (Time Projection Chamber) Detektors von ALICE (A Large Ion Collider Experiment) ist. ALICE ist ein Experiment am noch im Bau befindlichen LHC (Large Hadron Collider) am CERN mit der zentralen Ausrichtung, Schwerionenkollisionen zu untersuchen. Diese sind von besonderem Interesse, da durch sie ein experimenteller Zugriff zu dem QGP (Quark Gluon Plasma) existiert, dem einzigen vom Standardmodell vorhergesagten Phasenübergang, der unter Laborbedingungen erreichbar ist. Im Jahr 2004 wurden Messungen an einem Teststrahl am CERN PS (Proton Synchrotron) durchgeführt. Der Prototyp wurde voll mit FECs bestückt, was 5400 Kanälen entspricht und einer anderen Gasmixtur (Ne/N2/CO2 90%/5%/5%) befüllt. Für das optimale Leistungsverhalten der ALICE TPC muß der Digitalprozessor im ALTRO, bestehend aus vier Berechnungseinheiten, mit den passenden Werten konfiguriert werden. Der Datenfluss beginnt mit dem BCS1 (Baseline Correction and Subtraction 1) Modul, das systematische Störungen und die Grundlinie entfernt. Da der ALTRO kontinuierlich das anliegende Signal abtastet, entfernt es automatisch langsame Grundlinienveränderungen, die Beispielsweise durch Temperaturänderungen auftreten können. Gefolgt von dem TCF (Tail Cancellation Filter), der den Schweif des langsam fallenden, vom PASA generierten Signals entfernt. Um die nichtsystematischen Störungen der Grundlinie zu entfernen, folgt die BCS2 (Baseline Correction and Subtraction 2), die auf einer gleitenden Mittelwertsberechnung mit Ausschluß von Detektorsignalen über einen doppelten Schwellenwert basiert. Die finale Einheit für die Signalverarbeitung ist die ZSU (Zero Suppression Unit), die Meßpunkte unterhalb eines definierten Schwellwertes entfernt. Hier wird der weg beschrieben die TCF und BCS1 Parameter aus vorhandenen Detektordaten zu extrahieren. Während der Analyse der Daten von kosmischen Teilchen fiel bei Signalen mit hoher Amplitude (>700 ADC) eine zusätzliche Struktur in dem Schweif auf. Der Monitor wurde deswegen mit einem gleitenden Mittelwertfilter erweitert, worauf sich diese Struktur auch in kleineren Signalen (> 200 ADC) zeigte. Dieses Signal wird von Ionen erzeugt, die zur Kathode oder zu den Pads driften, bisher ist jedoch weder die Streuung der Elektronenlawine an der Anode, noch die Variationsbreite in den erzeugten Elektronlawinen verstanden oder gemessen worden. Eine erfolgreiche Messung, sowie Charakterisierung wird in dieser Arbeit beschrieben. Im Jahr 2005 im Sommer beginnt der Einbau der Gaskammern der TPC in ALICE, die Elektronik folgt am Ende dieses Jahres. Parallel hierzu wurde der Prototyp der TPC wieder in Betrieb genommen und im Frühling wird ein kompletter Sektor mit der Detektorelektronik ausgestattet. An diesen zwei Aufbauten wird die ALTRO Charakterisierung fortgeführt, verfeinert und komplettiert.
Event-by-event multiplicity fluctuations in nucleus-nucleus collisions are studied within the HSD and UrQMD transport models. The scaled variances of negative, positive, and all charged hadrons in Pb+Pb at 158 AGeV are analyzed in comparison to the data from the NA49 Collaboration. We find a dominant role of the fluctuations in the nucleon participant number for the final hadron multiplicity fluctuations. This fact can be used to check di erent scenarios of nucleus-nucleus collisions by measuring the final multiplicity fluctuations as a function of collision centrality. The analysis reveals surprising e ects in the recent NA49 data which indicate a rather strong mixing of the projectile and target hadron production sources even in peripheral collisions. PACS numbers: 25.75.-q,25.75.Gz,24.60.-k
Mitochondial NADH:ubiquinone oxidoreductase (complex I) the largest multiprotein enzyme of the respiratory chain, catalyses the transfer of two electrons from NADH to ubiquinone, coupled to the translocation of four protons across the membrane. In addition to the 14 strictly conserved central subunits it contains a variable number of accessory subunits. At present, the best characterized enzyme is complex I from bovine heart with a molecular mass of about 980 kDa and 32 accessory proteins. In this study, the subunit composition of mitochondrial complex I from the aerobic yeast Y. lipolytica has been analysed by a combination of proteomic and genomic approaches. The sequences of 37 complex I subunits were identified. The sum of their individual molecular masses (about 930 kDa) was consistent with the native molecular weight of approximately 900 kDa for Y. lipolytica complex I obtained by BN-PAGE. A genomic analysis with Y. lipolytica and other eukaryotic databases to search for homologues of complex I subunits revealed 31 conserved proteins among the examined species. A novel protein named “X” was found in purified Y. lipolytica complex I by MALDI-MS. This protein exhibits homology to the thiosulfate sulfurtransferase enzyme referred to as rhodanese. The finding of a rhodanese-like protein in isolated complex I of Y. lipolytica allows to assume a special regulatory mechanism of complex I activity through control of the status of its iron-sulfur clusters. The second part of this study was aimed at investigating the possible role of one of these extra subunits, 39 kDa (NUEM) subunit which is related to the SDRs-enzyme family. The members of this family function in different redox and isomerization reactions and contain a conserved NAD(P)H-binding site. It was proposed that the 39 kDa subunit may be involved in a biosynthetic pathway, but the role of this subunit in complex I is unknown. In contrast to the situation in N. crassa, deletion of the 39 kDa encoding gene in Y. lipolytica led to the absence of fully assembled complex I. This result might indicate a different pathway of complex I assembly in both organisms. Several site-directed mutations were generated in the nucleotide binding motif. These had either no effect on enzyme activity and NADPH binding, or prevented complex I assembly. Mutations of arginine-65 that is located at the end of the second b-strand and responsible for selective interaction with the 2’-phosphate group of NADPH retained complex I activity in mitochondrial membranes but the affinity for the cofactor was markedly decreased. Purification of complex I from mutants resulted in decrease or loss of ubiquinone reductase activity. It is very likely that replacement of R65 not only led to a decrease in affinity for NADPH but also caused instability of the enzyme due to steric changes in the 39 kDa subunit. These data indicate that NADPH bound to the 39 kDa subunit (NUEM) is not essential for complex I activity, but probably involved in complex I assembly in Y. lipolytica.
The thesis entitled „Investigations on the significance of nucleo-cytoplasmic transport for the biological function of cellular proteins" aimed to unreveal molecular mechanisms in order to improve our understanding of the impact of nucleo-cytoplasmic transport on cellular functions. Within the scope of this work, it could be shown that regulated nucleo-cytoplasmic transport of a subfamily of homeobox transcription factors controlled their intra- and intercellular transport, and thereby influencing also their transcriptional activity. This study describes a novel regulatory mechanism, which could in general play an important role for the ordered differentiation of complex organisms. Besides cis-active transport Signals, also post-translational modifications can influence the localization and biological activity of proteins in trans. In addition to the known impact of phosphorylation on the transport and activity of STAT1, experimental evidence was provided demonstrating that acetylation affected the interaction of STAT1 with NF-kB p65, and subsequently modulated the expression of apoptosis-inducing NF-kB target genes. The impact of nucleo-cytoplasmic transport on the regulation of apoptosis was underlined by showing that the evolutionary conservation of a NES within the anti-apoptotic protein survivin plays an essential role for its dual function in the inhibition of apoptosis and ordered cell division. Since survivin is considered a bona fide cancer therapy target, these results strongly encourage future work to identify molecular decoys that specifically inhibit the nuclear export of survivin as novel therapeutics. In order to further dissect the regulation of nuclear transport and to efficiently identify transport inhibitors, cell-based assays are urgently required. Therefore, the cellular assay Systems developed in this work may not only serve to identify synthetic nuclear export and Import inhibitors but may also be applied in systematic RNAi-screening approaches to identify novel components of the transport machinery. In addition, the translocation based protease- and protein-interaction biosensors can be applied in various biological Systems, in particular to identify protein-protein interaction inhibitors of cancer relevant proteins. In summary, this work does not only underline the general significance of nucleo-cytoplasmic transport for cell biology, but also demonstrates its potential for the development of novel therapies against diseases like cancer and viral infections.
Plural semantics for natural language understanding : a computational proof-theoretic approach
(2005)
The semantics of natural language plurals poses a number of intricate problems – both from a formal and a computational perspective. In this thesis I investigate problems of representing, disambiguating and reasoning with plurals from a computational perspective. The work defines a computationally suitable representation for important plural constructions, proposes a tractable resolution algorithm for semantic plural ambiguities, and integrates an automatic reasoning component for plurals. My solution combines insights from formal semantics, computational linguistics and automated theorem proving and is based on the following main ideas. Whereas many existing approaches to plural semantics work on a model-theoretic basis using higher-order representation languages I propose a proof-theoretic approach to plural semantics based on a flat firstorder semantic representation language thus showing that a trade-off between expressive power and logical tractability can be found. The problem of automatic disambiguation of plurals is tackled by a deliberate decision to drastically reduce recourse to contextual knowledge for disambiguation but rely instead on structurally available and thus computationally manageable information. A further central aspect of the solution lies in carefully drawing the borderline between real ambiguity and mere indeterminacy in the interpretation of plural noun phrases. As a practical result of my computational proof-theoretic approach to plural semantics I can use my methods to perform automated reasoning with plurals by applying advanced firstorder theorem provers and model-generators available off-the shelf. The results are prototypically implemented within the two logic-oriented natural language understanding applications DRoPs and Attempto. DRoPs provides an automatic plural disambiguation component for uncontrolled natural language whereas Attempto works with a constructive disambiguation strategy for controlled natural language. Both systems provide tools for the automated analysis of technical texts allowing users for example to automatically detect inconsistencies, to perform question answering, to check whether a conjecture follows from a text or to find equivalences and redundancies.
Molecular dynamics (MD) simulation serves as an important and widely used computational tool to study molecular systems at an atomic resolution. No experimental technique is capable of generating a complete description of the dynamical structure of the biomolecules in their native solution environment. MD simulations allow us to study the dynamics and structure of the system and, moreover, helps in the interpretation of experimental observations. MD simulation was first introduced and applied by Alder and Wainwright in 1957 \cite{Alder57}. However, the first MD simulation of a macromolecule of biological interest was published 28 years ago \cite{McCammon77}. The simulation was concerned with the bovine pancreatic trypsin inhibitor (BPTI) protein, which has served as the hydrogen molecule'' of protein dynamics because of its small size, high stability, and relatively accurate X-ray structure available in 1977 \cite{Deisenhofer75}. This method is now widely used to tackle larger and more complex biological systems \cite{Groot01,Roux02} and has been facilitated by the development of fast and efficient methods for treating the long-range electrostatic interactions \cite{Essmann95}, the availability of faster parallel computers, and the continuous development of empirical molecular mechanical force fields \cite{Langley98,Cheatham99,Foloppe00}. It took several years until the first MD simulations of nucleic acid systems were performed \cite{Levitt83,Tidor83,Prabhakaran83,Nilsson86}. These investigations, which were also performed in vacuo, clearly demonstrated the importance of proper handling of electrostatics in a highly charged nucleic acid system, and different approaches, such as reduction of the phosphate charges and addition of hydrated counterions, have been applied to remedy this shortcoming and to maintain stable DNA structures. A few years later, the first MD simulation of a DNA molecule, including explicit water molecules and counterions was published \cite{Seibel85}. Various MD simulations on fully solvated RNA molecules with explicit inclusion of mobile ions indicated the importance of proper treatment of the environment of highly charged nucleic acids \cite{Lee95,Zichi95,Auffinger97,Auffinger99}. Given the central roles of RNA in the life of cells, it is important to understand the mechanism by which RNA forms three dimensional structures endowed with properties such as catalysis, ligand binding, and recognition of proteins. Furthermore, the increasing awareness of the essential role of RNA in controlling viral replication and in bacterial protein synthesis emphazises the potential of ribonucleicacids as targets for developing new antibacterial and new antiviral drugs. Driven by fruitful collaborations in the Sonderforschungsbereich RNA-Ligand interactions" the model RNA systems in this study include various RNA tetraloops and HIV-1 TAR RNA. For the latter system, the binding sites of heteroaromatic compounds have been studied employing automated docking calculations \cite{Goodsell90}. The results show that it is possible to use this tool to dock small rigid ligands to an RNA molecule, while large and flexible molecules are clearly problematic. The main part of this work is focused on MD simulations of RNA tetraloops.
Die vorliegende Analyse untersucht die Beschäftigungseffekte von Vermittlungsgutscheinen und Personal-Service-Agenturen mit Hilfe einer makroökonometrischen Evaluation. Neben einer mikroökonometrischen Evaluation, welche die Wirkungen auf individueller Ebene untersucht, kann eine makroökonometrische Analyse Aussagen über die gesamtwirtschaftlichen Effekte der Maßnahmen machen. Die strukturellen Multiplikatorwirkungen im makroökonomischen Kreislaufzusammenhang werden jedoch nicht berücksichtigt. Das ökonometrische Modell zur Analyse der beiden Maßnahmen basiert auf einer Matching-Funktion, die den Suchprozess von Firmen und von Arbeitern nach einem Beschäftigungsverhältnis abbildet. Die empirischen Analysen werden getrennt für Ost- und Westdeutschland sowie für die Strategietypen der Bundesagentur für Arbeit durchgeführt. Sie zeigen, dass die Ausgabe von Vermittlungsgutscheinen nur in „großstädtisch geprägten Bezirken vorwiegend in Westdeutschland mit hoher Arbeitslosigkeit“ (Strategietyp II) einen signifikant positiven Effekt auf den Suchprozess hat. Für die Personal-Service-Agenturen zeigen sich signifikant positive Effekte für Ost- als auch für Westdeutschland. Allerdings fehlt für eine abschließende Bewertung der Ergebnisse für die Personal- Service-Agenturen aufgrund der relativ geringen Teilnehmerzahl noch ein Vergleich mit mikroökonometrischen Analysen.
Serial correlation in dynamic panel data models with weakly exogenous regressor and fixed effects
(2005)
Our paper wants to present and compare two estimation methodologies for dynamic panel data models in the presence of serially correlated errors and weakly exogenous regressors. The ¯rst is the ¯rst di®erence GMM estimator as proposed by Arellano and Bond (1991) and the second is the transformed Maximum Likelihood Estimator as proposed by Hsiao, Pesaran, and Tahmiscioglu (2002). Thereby, we consider the ¯xed e®ects case and weakly exogenous regressors. The ¯nite sample properties of both estimation methodologies are analysed within a simulation experiment. Furthermore, we will present an empirical example to consider the performance of both estimators with real data. JEL Classification: C23, J64
In this paper we evaluate the employment effects of job creation schemes on the participating individuals in Germany. Job creation schemes are a major element of active labour market policy in Germany and are targeted at long-term unemployed and other hard-to-place individuals. Access to very informative administrative data of the Federal Employment Agency justifies the application of a matching estimator and allows to account for individual (group-specific) and regional effect heterogeneity. We extend previous studies in four directions. First, we are able to evaluate the effects on regular (unsubsidised) employment. Second, we observe the outcome of participants and non-participants for nearly three years after programme start and can therefore analyse mid- and long-term effects. Third, we test the sensitivity of the results with respect to various decisions which have to be made during implementation of the matching estimator, e.g. choosing the matching algorithm or estimating the propensity score. Finally, we check if a possible occurrence of 'unobserved heterogeneity' distorts our interpretation. The overall results are rather discouraging, since the employment effects are negative or insignificant for most of the analysed groups. One notable exception are long-term unemployed individuals who benefit from participation. Hence, one policy implication is to address programmes to this problem group more tightly. JEL Classification: J68, H43, C13
Job creation schemes (JCS) have been one important programme of active labour market policy in Germany aiming at the re-integration of hard-to-place unemployed individuals into regular employment. In ontrast to earlier evaluation studies of these programmes based on survey data, we use administrative data containing more than 11,000 participants for our analysis and hence, can take effect heterogeneity explicitly into account. We focus on effect heterogeneity caused by differences in the implementation of programmes (economic sector, types of support and implementing institutions). The results are rather discouraging and show that in general, JCS are unable to improve the re-integration chances of participants into regular employment.
Vocational training programmes have been the most important active labour market policy instrument in Germany in the last years. However, the still unsatisfying situation of the labour market has raised doubt on the efficiency of these programmes. In this paper, we analyse the effects of the participation in vocational training programmes on the duration of unemployment in Eastern Germany. Based on administrative data for the time between the October 1999 and December 2002 of the Federal Employment Administration, we apply a bivariate mixed proportional hazards model. By doing so, we are able to use the information of the timing of treatment as well as observable and unobservable influences to identify the treatment effects. The results show that a participation in vocational training prolongates the unemployment duration in Eastern Germany. Furthermore, the results suggest that locking-in effects are a serious problem of vocational training programmes. JEL Classification: J64, J24, I28, J68
The effects of vocational training programmes on the duration of unemployment in Eastern Germany
(2005)
Vocational training programmes have been the most important active labour market policy instrument in Germany in the last years. However, the still unsatisfying situation of the labour market has raised doubt on the efficiency of these programmes. In this paper, we analyse the effects of the participation in vocational training programmes on the duration of unemployment in Eastern Germany. Based on administrative data for the time between the October 1999 and December 2002 of the Federal Employment Administration, we apply a bivariate mixed proportional hazards model. By doing so, we are able to use the information of the timing of treatment as well as observable and unobservable influences to identify the treatment effects. The results show that a participation in vocational training prolongates the unemployment duration in Eastern Germany. Furthermore, the results suggest that locking-in effects are a serious problem of vocational training programmes. JEL Classification: J64, J24, I28, J68
Previous empirical studies of job creation schemes in Germany have shown that the average effects for the participating individuals are negative. However, we find that this is not true for all strata of the population. Identifying individual characteristics that are responsible for the effect heterogeneity and using this information for a better allocation of individuals therefore bears some scope for improving programme efficiency. We present several stratification strategies and discuss the occurring effect heterogeneity. Our findings show that job creation schemes do neither harm nor improve the labour market chances for most of the groups. Exceptions are long-term unemployed men in West and long-term unemployed women in East and West Germany who benefit from participation in terms of higher employment rates. JEL: C13 , J68 , H43
Innovations are a key factor to ensure the competitiveness of establishments as well as to enhance the growth and wealth of nations. But more than any other economic activity, decisions about innovations are plagued by failures of the market mechanism. As a response, public instruments have been implemented to stimulate private innovation activities. The effectiveness of these measures, however, is ambiguous and calls for an empirical evaluation. In this paper we make use of the IAB Establishment Panel and apply various microeconometric methods to estimate the effect of public measures on innovation activities of German establishments. We find that neglecting sample selection due to observable as well as to unobservable characteristics leads to an overestimation of the treatment effect and that there are considerable differences with regard to size class and betweenWest and East German establishments.
In recent methodological work the well known ACD approach, originally introduced by Engle and Russell (1998), has been supplemented by the involvement of an unobservable stochastic process which accompanies the underlying process of durations via a discrete mixture of distributions. The Mixture ACD model, emanating from the specialized proposal of De Luca and Gallo (2004), has proved to be a moderate tool for description of financial duration data. The use of one and the same family of ordinary distributions has been common practice until now. Our contribution incites to use the rich parameterized comprehensive family of distributions which allows for interacting different distributional idiosyncrasies. JEL classification: C41, C22, C25, C51, G14.
We propose a new framework for modelling the time dependence in duration processes being in force on financial markets. The pioneering ACD model introduced by Engle and Russell (1998) will be extended in a manner that the duration process will be accompanied by an unobservable stochastic process. The Discrete Mixture ACD framework provides us with a general methodology which puts the idea into practice. It is established by introducing a discrete-valued latent regime variable which can be justified in the light of recent market microstructure theories. The empirical application demonstrates its ability to capture specific characteristics of intraday transaction durations while alternative approaches fail. JEL classification: C41, C22, C25, C51, G14.