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Background/aims: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a leading indication for liver transplantation (LT) worldwide. Early identification of patients at risk for HCC recurrence is of paramount importance since early treatment of recurrent HCC after LT may be associated with increased survival. We evaluated incidence of and predictors for HCC recurrence, with a focus on the course of AFP levels.
Methods: We performed a retrospective, single-center study of 99 HCC patients who underwent LT between January 28th, 1997 and May 11th, 2016. A multi-stage proportional hazards model with three stages was used to evaluate potential predictive markers, both by univariate and multivariable analysis, for influences on 1) recurrence after transplantation, 2) mortality without HCC recurrence, and 3) mortality after recurrence.
Results: 19/99 HCC patients showed recurrence after LT. Waiting time was not associated with overall HCC recurrence (HR = 1, p = 0.979). Similarly, waiting time did not affect mortality in LT recipients both with (HR = 0.97, p = 0.282) or without (HR = 0.99, p = 0.685) HCC recurrence. Log10-transformed AFP values at the time of LT (HR 1.75, p = 0.023) as well as after LT (HR 2.07, p = 0.037) were significantly associated with recurrence. Median survival in patients with a ratio (AFP at recurrence divided by AFP 3 months before recurrence) of 0.5 was greater than 70 months, as compared to a median of only 8 months in patients with a ratio of 5.
Conclusion: A rise in AFP levels rather than an absolute threshold could help to identify patients at short-term risk for HCC recurrence post LT, which may allow intensification of the surveillance strategy on an individualized basis.
Purpose: The purpose of the study is to retrospectively evaluate the development and technological progress in local oncological treatments of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) by means of ablation techniques like laser interstitial thermal therapy (LITT), microwave ablation (MWA) and transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) in a multimodal application.
Method: This retrospective single-center study uses data generated between 1993 and 2020 (1,045 patients). Therapy results are evaluated using survival rates of Kaplan-Meier estimator, Cox proportional hazard regression and log-rank test.
Results: Median survival times in group LITT (25 patients) are 1.6 years, and, 2.6 years for LITT + TACE (67 patients). For LITT only treatments 1-/3-/5-year survival rates scored 64%, 24% and 20%. Results for combined LITT + TACE treatments were 84%, 37% and 14%. Median survival time in group MWA (227 patients) is 4.5 years. Estimated median survival time for MWA + TACE (108 patients) leads to a median survival time of 2.7 years. In group MWA the 1-/3-/5-year survival rates are 85%, 54%, 45%. Group MWA + TACE shows values of 79%, 41% and 25%. A separate group of 618 patients has been analyzed with TACE as monotherapy. Median survival time of 1 year was estimated in this group. 1-/3-/5-year survival rates are 48%, 15% and 8%. - Cox regression analysis showed that the different treatment methods are statistically significant predictors for survival of patients.
Conclusions: Treatments with MWA resulted in best median survival rates, followed by MWA + TACE in combination. Survival rates of MWA only are significantly higher vs. LITT, vs. LITT + TACE and vs. TACE monotherapy.