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Acute‐on‐chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a syndrome with high short‐term mortality. Precipitating events, including hemorrhage and infections, contribute to ACLF development, but the role of surgery remains unknown. We investigated the development of ACLF in patients with cirrhosis undergoing surgery. In total, 369 patients with cirrhosis were included in the study. The clinical and laboratory data were collected prior to and on days 1‐2, 3‐8, and 9‐28, and at 3 and 12 months after surgery. Surgery type was classified as limited or extensive, as well as liver and nonliver surgery. A total of 39 patients had baseline ACLF. Surgery was performed during acute decompensation in 35% of the rest of the 330 patients, and 81 (24.5%) developed ACLF within 28 days after surgery. Surrogate markers of systemic inflammation were similar in patients who developed ACLF or not. Age, sex, serum sodium, baseline bacterial infection, and abdominal nonliver surgery were independent predictors for the development of ACLF after surgery. Patients who developed ACLF within 28 days after surgery had a higher mortality at 3, 6, and 12 months. Survival did not differ between patients with ACLF at surgery and those developing ACLF after surgery. Development of ACLF within 28 days after surgery and elevated alkaline phosphatase and international normalized ratio were independent predictors of 90‐day mortality. Independent predictors of 1‐year all‐cause mortality were alkaline phosphatase, Model for End‐Stage Liver Disease score, and preoperative hepatic encephalopathy, whereas nonliver surgery was associated with improved survival. ACLF frequently develops in patients with cirrhosis undergoing surgery, especially in those with active bacterial infection, lower serum sodium, and kidney or coagulation dysfunction. Prognoses of ACLF both at and after surgery are similarly poor. Patients with cirrhosis should be carefully managed perioperatively.
Background & Aims: Renal function assessed by creatinine is a key prognostic factor in cirrhotic patients. However, creatinine is influenced by several factors, rendering interpretation difficult in some situations. This is especially important in early stages of renal dysfunction where renal impairment might not be accompanied by an increase in creatinine. Other parameters, such as cystatin C (CysC) and beta‐trace protein (BTP), have been evaluated to fill this gap. However, none of these studies have considered the role of the patient's sex. The present study analysed CysC and BTP to evaluate their prognostic value and differentiate them according to sex.
Patients and methods: CysC and BTP were measured in 173 transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS)‐patients from the NEPTUN‐STUDY(NCT03628807) and analysed their relationship with mortality and sex. Propensity score for age, MELD, etiology and TIPS indication was used.
Results_ Cystatin C and BTP showed excellent correlations with creatinine values at baseline and follow‐up. CysC was an independent predictor of overall mortality (HR = 1.66(1.33‐2.06)) with an AUC of 0.75 and identified a cut‐off of 1.55 mg/L in the whole cohort. Interestingly, CysC was significantly lower in females, also after propensity score matching. In males, the only independent predictor was the creatinine level (HR = 1.54(1.25‐1.58)), while in females CysC levels independently predicted mortality (HR = 3.17(1.34‐7.52)).
Conclusion: This study demonstrates for the first time that in TIPS‐patients creatinine predicts mortality in males better than in females, whereas CysC is a better predictor of mortality in females. These results may influence future clinical decisions on therapeutic options for example, allocation for liver transplantation in TIPS‐patients.