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Zukunftsforschung ohne Orakel : zur langfristigen Szenarienbildung und der Initiative "Zukunft 25"
(2007)
Jedes Jahrhundert bringt eigene Visionen der Zukunft hervor, wobei vor allem diejenigen Entwicklungen extrapoliert werden, die in der aktuellen Forschung besonders präsent sind. Im 19. Jahrhundert waren dies, wie die gezeigten Sammelbilder belegen, vor allem Verkehr und Mobilität. In seinem Roman »In 80 Tagen um die Erde« drückt Jules Verne die Faszination darüber aus, dass Orte und Menschen zusammenrücken, weil die Entfernungen sich dank moderner Verkehrsmittel wie Auto, Eisenbahn und Flugzeug schneller überbrücken lassen. Die überwiegend optimistischen Zukunftserwartungen des 19. Jahrhunderts sind inzwischen kritischeren, wenn nicht pessimistischen Visionen gewichen. Betrachtet man Filme wie »Blade Runner« oder »Matrix«, so beschäftigen uns heute Themen wie der künstliche oder manipulierte Mensch. Auch der Zukunftsforscher Claudius Gros denkt über die Folgen einer künstlichen Gebärmutter nach. Aber er sieht optimistisch in die Zukunft.
Learning and animal movement
(2021)
Integrating diverse concepts from animal behavior, movement ecology, and machine learning, we develop an overview of the ecology of learning and animal movement. Learning-based movement is clearly relevant to ecological problems, but the subject is rooted firmly in psychology, including a distinct terminology. We contrast this psychological origin of learning with the task-oriented perspective on learning that has emerged from the field of machine learning. We review conceptual frameworks that characterize the role of learning in movement, discuss emerging trends, and summarize recent developments in the analysis of movement data. We also discuss the relative advantages of different modeling approaches for exploring the learning-movement interface. We explore in depth how individual and social modalities of learning can matter to the ecology of animal movement, and highlight how diverse kinds of field studies, ranging from translocation efforts to manipulative experiments, can provide critical insight into the learning process in animal movement.
Recurrent cortical network dynamics plays a crucial role for sequential information processing in the brain. While the theoretical framework of reservoir computing provides a conceptual basis for the understanding of recurrent neural computation, it often requires manual adjustments of global network parameters, in particular of the spectral radius of the recurrent synaptic weight matrix. Being a mathematical and relatively complex quantity, the spectral radius is not readily accessible to biological neural networks, which generally adhere to the principle that information about the network state should either be encoded in local intrinsic dynamical quantities (e.g. membrane potentials), or transmitted via synaptic connectivity. We present two synaptic scaling rules for echo state networks that solely rely on locally accessible variables. Both rules work online, in the presence of a continuous stream of input signals. The first rule, termed flow control, is based on a local comparison between the mean squared recurrent membrane potential and the mean squared activity of the neuron itself. It is derived from a global scaling condition on the dynamic flow of neural activities and requires the separability of external and recurrent input currents. We gained further insight into the adaptation dynamics of flow control by using a mean field approximation on the variances of neural activities that allowed us to describe the interplay between network activity and adaptation as a two-dimensional dynamical system. The second rule that we considered, variance control, directly regulates the variance of neural activities by locally scaling the recurrent synaptic weights. The target set point of this homeostatic mechanism is dynamically determined as a function of the variance of the locally measured external input. This functional relation was derived from the same mean-field approach that was used to describe the approximate dynamics of flow control.
The effectiveness of the presented mechanisms was tested numerically using different external input protocols. The network performance after adaptation was evaluated by training the network to perform a time delayed XOR operation on binary sequences. As our main result, we found that flow control can reliably regulate the spectral radius under different input statistics, but precise tuning is negatively affected by interneural correlations. Furthermore, flow control showed a consistent task performance over a wide range of input strengths/variances. Variance control, on the other side, did not yield the desired spectral radii with the same precision. Moreover, task performance was less consistent across different input strengths.
Given the better performance and simpler mathematical form of flow control, we concluded that a local control of the spectral radius via an implicit adaptation scheme is a realistic alternative to approaches using classical “set point” homeostatic feedback controls of neural firing.
Author summary How can a neural network control its recurrent synaptic strengths such that network dynamics are optimal for sequential information processing? An important quantity in this respect, the spectral radius of the recurrent synaptic weight matrix, is a non-local quantity. Therefore, a direct calculation of the spectral radius is not feasible for biological networks. However, we show that there exist a local and biologically plausible adaptation mechanism, flow control, which allows to control the recurrent weight spectral radius while the network is operating under the influence of external inputs. Flow control is based on a theorem of random matrix theory, which is applicable if inter-synaptic correlations are weak. We apply the new adaption rule to echo-state networks having the task to perform a time-delayed XOR operation on random binary input sequences. We find that flow-controlled networks can adapt to a wide range of input strengths while retaining essentially constant task performance.
Recurrent cortical network dynamics plays a crucial role for sequential information processing in the brain. While the theoretical framework of reservoir computing provides a conceptual basis for the understanding of recurrent neural computation, it often requires manual adjustments of global network parameters, in particular of the spectral radius of the recurrent synaptic weight matrix. Being a mathematical and relatively complex quantity, the spectral radius is not readily accessible to biological neural networks, which generally adhere to the principle that information about the network state should either be encoded in local intrinsic dynamical quantities (e.g. membrane potentials), or transmitted via synaptic connectivity. We present two synaptic scaling rules for echo state networks that solely rely on locally accessible variables. Both rules work online, in the presence of a continuous stream of input signals. The first rule, termed flow control, is based on a local comparison between the mean squared recurrent membrane potential and the mean squared activity of the neuron itself. It is derived from a global scaling condition on the dynamic flow of neural activities and requires the separability of external and recurrent input currents. We gained further insight into the adaptation dynamics of flow control by using a mean field approximation on the variances of neural activities that allowed us to describe the interplay between network activity and adaptation as a two-dimensional dynamical system. The second rule that we considered, variance control, directly regulates the variance of neural activities by locally scaling the recurrent synaptic weights. The target set point of this homeostatic mechanism is dynamically determined as a function of the variance of the locally measured external input. This functional relation was derived from the same mean-field approach that was used to describe the approximate dynamics of flow control.
The effectiveness of the presented mechanisms was tested numerically using different external input protocols. The network performance after adaptation was evaluated by training the network to perform a time delayed XOR operation on binary sequences. As our main result, we found that flow control can reliably regulate the spectral radius under different input statistics, but precise tuning is negatively affected by interneural correlations. Furthermore, flow control showed a consistent task performance over a wide range of input strengths/variances. Variance control, on the other side, did not yield the desired spectral radii with the same precision. Moreover, task performance was less consistent across different input strengths.
Given the better performance and simpler mathematical form of flow control, we concluded that a local control of the spectral radius via an implicit adaptation scheme is a realistic alternative to approaches using classical “set point” homeostatic feedback controls of neural firing.
Author summary How can a neural network control its recurrent synaptic strengths such that network dynamics are optimal for sequential information processing? An important quantity in this respect, the spectral radius of the recurrent synaptic weight matrix, is a non-local quantity. Therefore, a direct calculation of the spectral radius is not feasible for biological networks. However, we show that there exist a local and biologically plausible adaptation mechanism, flow control, which allows to control the recurrent weight spectral radius while the network is operating under the influence of external inputs. Flow control is based on a theorem of random matrix theory, which is applicable if inter-synaptic correlations are weak. We apply the new adaption rule to echo-state networks having the task to perform a time-delayed XOR operation on random binary input sequences. We find that flow-controlled networks can adapt to a wide range of input strengths while retaining essentially constant task performance.
Biological as well as advanced artificial intelligences (AIs) need to decide which goals to pursue. We review nature's solution to the time allocation problem, which is based on a continuously readjusted categorical weighting mechanism we experience introspectively as emotions. One observes phylogenetically that the available number of emotional states increases hand in hand with the cognitive capabilities of animals and that raising levels of intelligence entail ever larger sets of behavioral options. Our ability to experience a multitude of potentially conflicting feelings is in this view not a leftover of a more primitive heritage, but a generic mechanism for attributing values to behavioral options that can not be specified at birth. In this view, emotions are essential for understanding the mind. For concreteness, we propose and discuss a framework which mimics emotions on a functional level. Based on time allocation via emotional stationarity (TAES), emotions are implemented as abstract criteria, such as satisfaction, challenge and boredom, which serve to evaluate activities that have been carried out. The resulting timeline of experienced emotions is compared with the “character” of the agent, which is defined in terms of a preferred distribution of emotional states. The long-term goal of the agent, to align experience with character, is achieved by optimizing the frequency for selecting individual tasks. Upon optimization, the statistics of emotion experience becomes stationary.