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Precipitation extremes with devastating socioeconomic consequences within the South American Monsoon System (SAMS) are expected to become more frequent in the near future. The complexity in SAMS behavior, however, poses severe challenges for reliable future projections. Thus, robust paleomonsoon records are needed to constrain the high spatiotemporal variability in the response of SAMS rainfall to different climatic drivers. This study uses Ti/Ca ratios from X‐ray fluorescence scanning of a sediment core retrieved off eastern Brazilian to trace precipitation changes over the past 322 Kyr. The results indicate that despite the spatiotemporal complexity of the SAMS, insolation forcing is the primary pacemaker of variations in the monsoonal system. Additional modulation by atmospheric pCO2 suggests that SAMS intensity over eastern Brazil will be suppressed by rising CO2 emissions in the future. Lastly, our record reveals an unprecedented strong and persistent wet period during Marine Isotope Stage 6 driven by anomalously strong trade winds.
Background: Chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infections are causally linked with metabolic comorbidities such as insulin resistance, hepatic steatosis, and dyslipidemia. However, the clinical impact of HCV eradication achieved by direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) on glucose and lipid homeostasis is still controversial. The study aimed to prospectively investigate whether antiviral therapy of HCV with DAAs alters glucose and lipid parameters. Methods: 50 patients with chronic HCV who were treated with DAAs were screened, and 49 were enrolled in the study. Biochemical and virological data, as well as noninvasive liver fibrosis parameters, were prospectively collected at baseline, at the end of treatment (EOT) and 12 and 24 weeks post-treatment. Results: 45 of 46 patients achieved sustained virologic response (SVR). The prevalence of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR) after HCV clearance was significantly lower, compared to baseline (5.3 ± 6.1 to 2.5 ± 1.9, p < 0.001), which is primarily attributable to a significant decrease of fasting insulin levels (18.9 ± 17.3 to 11.7 ± 8.7; p = 0.002). In contrast to that, HCV eradication resulted in a significant increase in cholesterol levels (total cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), and high-density lipoprotein (HDL-C) levels) and Controlled Attenuated Score (CAP), although BMI did not significantly change over time (p = 0.95). Moreover, HOMA-IR correlated significantly with noninvasive liver fibrosis measurements at baseline und during follow-up (TE: r = 0.45; p = 0.003, pSWE: r = 0.35; p = 0.02, APRI: r = 0.44; p = 0.003, FIB-4: r = 0.41; p < 0.001). Conclusion: Viral eradication following DAA therapy may have beneficial effects on glucose homeostasis, whereas lipid profile seems to be worsened.
Chronic viral hepatitis is associated with substantial morbidity and mortality worldwide. The aim of our study was to assess the ability of point shear‐wave elastography (pSWE) using acoustic radiation force impulse imaging for the prediction of the following liver‐related events (LREs): new diagnosis of HCC, liver transplantation, or liver‐related death (hepatic decompensation was not included as an LRE). pSWE was performed at study inclusion and compared with liver histology, transient elastography (TE), and serologic biomarkers (aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index, Fibrosis‐4, FibroTest). The performance of pSWE and TE to predict LREs was assessed by calculating the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and a Cox proportional‐hazards regression model. A total of 254 patients with a median follow‐up of 78 months were included in the study. LRE occurred in 28 patients (11%) during follow‐up. In both patients with hepatitis B virus and hepatitis C virus (HCV), pSWE showed significant correlations with noninvasive tests and TE, and median pSWE and TE values were significantly different between patients with LREs and patients without LREs (both P < 0.0001). In patients with HCV, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for pSWE and TE to predict LREs were comparable: 0.859 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.747‐0.969) and 0.852 (95% CI, 0.737‐0.967) (P = 0.93). In Cox regression analysis, pSWE independently predicted LREs in all patients with HCV (hazard ratio, 17.9; 95% CI, 5.21‐61‐17; P < 0.0001) and those who later received direct‐acting antiviral therapy (hazard ratio, 17.11; 95% CI, 3.88‐75.55; P = 0.0002). Conclusion: Our study shows good comparability between pSWE and TE. pSWE is a promising tool for the prediction of LREs in patients with viral hepatitis, particularly those with chronic HCV. Further studies are needed to confirm our data and assess their prognostic value in other liver diseases.
Standard monitoring of heart rate, blood pressure and arterial oxygen saturation during endoscopy is recommended by current guidelines on procedural sedation. A number of studies indicated a reduction of hypoxic (art. oxygenation < 90% for > 15 s) and severe hypoxic events (art. oxygenation < 85%) by additional use of capnography. Therefore, U.S. and the European guidelines comment that additional capnography monitoring can be considered in long or deep sedation. Integrated Pulmonary Index® (IPI) is an algorithm-based monitoring parameter that combines oxygenation measured by pulse oximetry (art. oxygenation, heart rate) and ventilation measured by capnography (respiratory rate, apnea > 10 s, partial pressure of end-tidal carbon dioxide [PetCO2]). The aim of this paper was to analyze the value of IPI as parameter to monitor the respiratory status in patients receiving propofol sedation during PEG-procedure. Patients reporting for PEG-placement under sedation were randomized 1:1 in either standard monitoring group (SM) or capnography monitoring group including IPI (IM). Heart rate, blood pressure and arterial oxygen saturation were monitored in SM. In IM additional monitoring was performed measuring PetCO2, respiratory rate and IPI. Capnography and IPI values were recorded for all patients but were only visible to the endoscopic team for the IM-group. IPI values range between 1 and 10 (10 = normal; 8–9 = within normal range; 7 = close to normal range, requires attention; 5–6 = requires attention and may require intervention; 3–4 = requires intervention; 1–2 requires immediate intervention). Results on capnography versus standard monitoring of the same study population was published previously. A total of 147 patients (74 in SM and 73 in IM) were included in the present study. Hypoxic events occurred in 62 patients (42%) and severe hypoxic events in 44 patients (29%), respectively. Baseline characteristics were equally distributed in both groups. IPI = 1, IPI < 7 as well as the parameters PetCO2 = 0 mmHg and apnea > 10 s had a high sensitivity for hypoxic and severe hypoxic events, respectively (IPI = 1: 81%/81% [hypoxic/severe hypoxic event], IPI < 7: 82%/88%, PetCO2: 69%/68%, apnea > 10 s: 84%/84%). All four parameters had a low specificity for both hypoxic and severe hypoxic events (IPI = 1: 13%/12%, IPI < 7: 7%/7%, PetCO2: 29%/27%, apnea > 10 s: 7%/7%). In multivariate analysis, only SM and PetCO2 = 0 mmHg were independent risk factors for hypoxia. IPI (IPI = 1 and IPI < 7) as well as the individual parameters PetCO2 = 0 mmHg and apnea > 10 s allow a fast and convenient conclusion on patients’ respiratory status in a morbid patient population. Sensitivity is good for most parameters, but specificity is poor. In conclusion, IPI can be a useful metric to assess respiratory status during propofol-sedation in PEG-placement. However, IPI was not superior to PetCO2 and apnea > 10 s.