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We use the Italian Survey of Household Income and Wealth, a rather unique dataset with a long time dimension of panel information on consumption, income and wealth, to structurally estimate a buffer-stock saving model. We exploit the information contained in the joint dynamics of income, consumption and wealth to quantify the degree of insurance against income risk. The estimated model implies that Italian households can insure between 89 and 95 percent of a transitory and between 7 and 9 percent of a permanent income shock. Compared to existing empirical estimates for the same dataset, our findings suggest that Italian households do not have access to significant insurance beyond self-insurance.
Die Krisenproteste in Frankfurt am Main und insb. das Blockupy-Bündnis und dessen Praxen zwischen 2012 und 2015 stehen im Mittelpunkt der folgenden Auseinandersetzung. Insgesamt stellt Blockupy den wohl breitesten Versuch dar, in Deutschland Widerstand gegen das „europäische Krisenregime“ zu organisieren. Hierfür trat das Bündnis 2012 und 2013 mit Aktionen des zivilen Ungehorsams in Frankfurt, im Mai 2014 mit dezentralen Aktionen in ganz Europa sowie der Mobilisierung gegen die Eröffnungsfeier des Neubaus der EZB im Frankfurter Ostend 2015 in Erscheinung. In dichter Form werden die Ereignisse skizziert und abschließend bewertet. Zentralgestellt werden in der Auseinandersetzung mit Blockupy dessen Praxen des Widerspruchs, die Aktionsformen sowie die Prozesse der Bündnisbildung. Gefragt wird nach Blockupys Organisation, den vollzogenen Lernprozessen sowie den inhaltlichen und praxisbezogenen Verschiebungen. Herausgearbeitet wird, dass Blockupy zunächst stark auf die Kritik an „Banken und Konzernen“ abzielte, dann aber immer expliziter auf die EZB fokussierte und eine antikapitalistische Position entwickelte. Immer stärker wird auch die internationale Ausrichtung des Bündnisses, womit die Zielsetzung der Etablierung eines ‚Europas von unten‘ entgegen der ‚autoritären EU von oben‘ einherging.
We provide an assessment of the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS) proposal to restrict the internal ratings-based approach on bank risk and to introduce risk-weighted asset floors. If well enforced, risk-sensitive capital regulation results in a more efficient credit allocation compared to the standard approach. Thus, the internal ratings-based approach should be maintained. Further, the use of internal ratings-based output floors potentially results in unintended negative side effects. Input floors are likely a valuable tool to achieve risk-weighted assets comparability. Finally, the proposed measures have a potential detrimental impact for European banks as compared to others.
We study the impact of higher capital requirements on banks’ balance sheets and its transmission to the real economy. The 2011 EBA capital exercise provides an almost ideal quasi-natural experiment, which allows us to identify the effect of higher capital requirements using a difference-in-differences matching estimator. We find that treated banks increase their capital ratios not by raising their levels of equity, but by reducing their credit supply. We also show that this reduction in credit supply results in lower firm-, investment-, and sales growth for firms which obtain a larger share of their bank credit from the treated banks.
Using novel monthly data for 226 euro-area banks from 2007 to 2015, we investigate the determinants of changes in banks’ sovereign exposures and their effects during and after the crisis. First, public, bailed out and poorly capitalized banks responded to sovereign stress by purchasing domestic public debt more than other banks, with public banks’ purchases growing especially in coincidence with the largest ECB liquidity injections. Second, bank exposures significantly amplified the transmission of risk from the sovereign and its impact on lending. This amplification of the impact on lending does not appear to arise from spurious correlation or reverse causality.
In der folgenden Anleitung werden diverse Methoden für den Zugriff auf das Ressourcen-Management, entwickelt von der AG Texttechnologie, erläutert. Das Ressourcen-Management ist für alle Anwendungen identisch. Erklärt wird das Auslesen des Ressourcen-Managements der Projects „PHI Picturing Atlas“. Alle Anweisungen erfolgen per RESTful-Aufrufen. Die API-Dokumentation findet sich unter http://phi.resources.hucompute.org.
Based on a unique data set of driving behavior we find direct evidence that private information has significant effects on contract choice and risk in automobile insurance. The number of car rides and the relative distance driven on weekends are significant risk factors. While the number of car rides and average speeding are negatively related to the level of liability coverage, the number of car rides and the relative distance driven at night are positively related to the level of first-party coverage. These results indicate multiple and counteracting effects of private information based on risk preferences and driving behavior.
Der Aufsatz untersucht das Verhältnis von Antidiskriminierungsrecht und Diversität in der Rechtswissenschaft. Das Verhältnis der beiden Begriffe zueinander ist nicht spannungsfrei. Der Aufsatz befasst sich näher mit der Frage, wie Gleichheit zu verstehen ist und stellt zwei Modelle zum Verständnis von Gleichheit vor: Differenzierungsverbot und Dominierungsverbot. Im Vergleich erweist sich ein Verständnis als Dominierungsverbot wesentlich leistungsfähiger als eine Deutung als Differenzierungsverbot, jedenfalls wenn es um komplexere Formen von Benachteiligung geht.
Im Anschluss wird erörtert, welche Faktoren die Leistungsfähigkeit des Antidiskriminierungsrechts im Hochschulbereich, in dem Frauen auf höheren Positionen immer noch unterrepräsentiert sind, beeinflussen. Hierbei werden verschiedene Erklärungsansätze dargestellt und strukturelle Hürden des Antidiskriminierungsrechts aufgezeigt. Denn die Frage der Durchsetzbarkeit rechtlicher Normen ist ein zentrales Thema für die praktische Wirksamkeit von Antidiskriminierungsrecht. Insoweit ist freilich auch ein Rückgriff auf die Herstellung von Diversität wenig erfolgversprechend.
Der Beitrag untersucht das in jüngerer Zeit verstärkt diskutierte Phänomen einer – tatsächlichen oder vermeintlichen – „anglo-amerikanischen Rechts-hegemonie“. Es geht dabei um die Frage, ob die Rechtsordnungen Deutschlands und der Europäischen Union unter eine Vormachtstellung des amerikanischen Rechtsdenkens und amerikanischer Regelungsmuster geraten sind oder eine solche vielleicht sogar selbst aktiv befördert haben. In dem Beitrag wird diese Diskussion aus zivilrechtlicher Perspektive aufgegriffen. Nach einer Konkretisierung des Topos der Rechtshegemonie werden dabei zunächst einige Grundcharakteristika des amerikanischen Rechtssystems und des deutschen Rechtssystems gegenübergestellt und zusammengefasst, in welchen Bereichen das deutsche und das europäische Recht in den vergangenen Jahrzehnten durch amerikanische Denk- und Regelungsmuster überformt worden sind. Im Anschluss erfolgt eine Bewertung der zuvor skizzierten Entwicklung, wobei die Unterscheidung zwischen einem intrinsisch orientierten und einem funktional orientierten Verständnis von Rechtskultur als ein Kernproblem der jüngeren rechtsvergleichenden Diskussion im Zentrum steht. Im Ergebnis wird eine tendenziell skeptische Perspektive gegenüber dem suggestiven Bild eines Wettbewerbs der Rechtsordnungen eingenommen und die in jüngerer Zeit häufig geäußerte These der globalfunktionalen Überlegenheit eines wettbewerbsorientierten Rechtsmodells in Zweifel gezogen.
On 14 September 2016, the European Commission proposed a Directive on “copyright in the Digital Single Market”. This proposal includes an Article 11 on the “protection of press publications concerning digital uses”, according to which “Member States shall provide publishers of press publications with the rights provided for in Article 2 and Article 3(2) of Directive 2001/29/EC for the digital use of their press publications.” Relying on the experiences and debates surrounding the German and Spanish laws in this area, this study presents a legal analysis of the proposal for an EU related right for press publishers (RRPP). After a brief overview over the general limits of the EU competence to introduce such a new related right, the study critically examines the purpose of an RRPP. On this basis, the next section distinguishes three versions of an RRPP with regard to its subject-matter and scope, and considers the practical and legal implications of these alternatives, in particular having regard to fundamental rights.
Event studies have become increasingly important in securities fraud litigation after the Supreme Court’s decision in Halliburton II. Litigants have used event study methodology, which empirically analyzes the relationship between the disclosure of corporate information and the issuer’s stock price, to provide evidence in the evaluation of key elements of federal securities fraud, including materiality, reliance, causation, and damages. As the use of event studies grows and they increasingly serve a gatekeeping function in determining whether litigation will proceed beyond a preliminary stage, it will be critical for courts to use them correctly.
This Article explores an array of considerations related to the use of event studies in securities fraud litigation. It starts by describing the basic function of the event study: to determine whether a highly unusual price movement has occurred and the traditional statistical approach to making that determination. The Article goes on to identify special features of securities fraud litigation that distinguish litigation from the scholarly context in which event studies were developed. The Article highlights the fact that the standard approach can lead to the wrong conclusion and describes the adjustments necessary to address the litigation context. We use the example of six dates in the Halliburton litigation to illustrate these points.
Finally, the Article highlights the limitations of event studies – what they can and cannot prove – and explains how those limitations relate to the legal issues for which they are introduced. These limitations bear upon important normative questions about the role event studies should play in securities fraud litigation.
This study examines the role of actual and perceived financial sophistication (i.e., financial literacy and confidence) for individuals' wealth accumulation. Using survey data from the German SAVE initiative, we find strong gender- and education-related differences in the distribution of the two variables and their effects on wealth: As financial literacy rises in formal education, whereas confidence increases in education for men but decreases for women, we observe that women become strongly underconfident with higher education, while men remain overconfident.Regarding wealth accumulation, we show that financial literacy has a positive effect that is stronger for women than for men and that is increasing (decreasing) in education for women (men). Confidence, however, supports only highly-educated men's wealth. When considering different channels for wealth accumulation, we observe that financial literacy is more important for current financial market participation, whereas confidence is more strongly associated with future-oriented financial planning. Overall, we demonstrate that highly-educated men's wealth levels benefit from their overconfidence via all financial decisions considered, but highly-educated women's financial planning suffers from their underconfidence. This may impair their wealth levels in old age.
Returns to experience for U.S. workers have changed over the post-war period. This paper argues that a simple model goes a long way towards replicating these changes. The model features three well-known ingredients: (i) an aggregate production function with constant skill-biased technical change; (ii) cohort qualities that vary with average years of schooling; and crucially (iii) time-invariant age-efficiency profiles. The model quantitatively accounts for changes in longitudinal and cross-sectional returns to experience, as well as the differential evolution of the college wage premium for young and old workers.
We develop a model that endogenizes the manager's choice of firm risk and of inside debt investment strategy. Our model delivers two predictions. First, managers have an incentive to reduce the correlation between inside debt and company stock in bad times. Second, managers that reduce such a correlation take on more risk in bad times. Using a sample of U.S. public firms, we provide evidence consistent with the model's predictions. Our results suggest that the weaker link between inside debt and company stock in bad times does not translate into a mitigation of debt-equity conflicts.
A stochastic forward-looking model to assess the profitability and solvency of european insurers
(2016)
In this paper, we develop an analytical framework for conducting forward-looking assessments of profitability and solvency of the main euro area insurance sectors. We model the balance sheet of an insurance company encompassing both life and non-life business and we calibrate it using country level data to make it representative of the major euro area insurance markets. Then, we project this representative balance sheet forward under stochastic capital markets, stochastic mortality developments and stochastic claims. The model highlights the potential threats to insurers solvency and profitability stemming from a sustained period of low interest rates particularly in those markets which are largely exposed to reinvestment risks due to the relatively high guarantees and generous profit participation schemes. The model also proves how the resilience of insurers to adverse financial developments heavily depends on the diversification of their business mix. Finally, the model identifies potential negative spillovers between life and non-life business thorugh the redistribution of capital within groups.
A stochastic forward-looking model to assess the profitability and solvency of European insurers
(2016)
In this paper, we develop an analytical framework for conducting forward-looking assessments of profitability and solvency of the main euro area insurance sectors. We model the balance sheet of an insurance company encompassing both life and non-life business and we calibrate it using country level data to make it representative of the major euro area insurance markets. Then, we project this representative balance sheet forward under stochastic capital markets, stochastic mortality developments and stochastic claims. The model highlights the potential threats to insurers solvency and profitability stemming from a sustained period of low interest rates particularly in those markets which are largely exposed to reinvestment risks due to the relatively high guarantees and generous profit participation schemes. The model also proves how the resilience of insurers to adverse financial developments heavily depends on the diversification of their business mix. Finally, the model identifies potential negative spillovers between life and non-life business thorugh the redistribution of capital within groups.
The article, which summarizes key findings of my German book ‘Die Gemeinfreiheit. Begriff, Funktion, Dogmatik’ (‘The Public Domain: Theory, Func-tion, Doctrine’), asks whether there are any provisions or principles under Ger-man and EU law that protect the public domain from interference by the legisla-ture, courts and private parties. In order to answer this question, it is necessary to step out of the intellectual property (IP) system and to analyze this body of law from the outside, and – even more important – to develop a positive legal conception of the public domain as such. By giving the public domain a proper doctrinal place in the legal system, the structural asymmetry between heavily theorized and protected IP rights on the one hand and a neglected public do-main on the other is countered. The overarching normative purpose is to devel-op a framework for a balanced IP system, which can only be achieved if the public domain forms an integral part of the overall regulation of information.
This note discusses the basic economics of central clearing for derivatives and the need for a proper regulation, supervision and resolution of central counterparty clearing houses (CCPs). New regulation in the U.S. and in Europe renders the involvement of a central counterparty mandatory for standardized OTC derivatives’ trading and sets higher capital and collateral requirements for non-centrally cleared derivatives.
From a macrofinance perspective, CCPs provide a trade-off between reduced contagion risk in the financial industry and the creation of a significant systemic risk. However, so far, regulation and supervision of CCPs is very fragmented, limited and ignores two important aspects: the risk of consolidation of CCPs on the one side and the competition among CCPs on the other side. i) As the economies of scale of CCP operations in risk and cost reduction can be large, they provide an argument in favor of consolidation, leading at the extreme to a monopoly CCP that poses the ultimate default risk – a systemic risk for the entire financial sector. As a systemic risk event requires a government bailout, there is a public policy issue here. ii) As long as no monopoly CCP exists, there is competition for market share among existing CCPs. Such competition may undermine the stability of the entire financial system because it induces “predatory margining”: a reduction of margin requirements to increase market share.
The policy lesson from our consideration emphasizes the importance of a single authority supervising all competing CCPs as well as of a specific regulation and resolution framework for CCPs. Our general recommendations can be applied to the current situation in Europe, and the proposed merger between Deutsche Börse and London Stock Exchange.
Rechtswissenschaftliche Abhandlungen und Veranstaltungen zu internationalen Gerichten stehen häufig unter dem Titel „Internationale Streitbeilegung“. Es wäre aber viel besser, so die Leitthese dieses Beitrags, solche Texte und Veranstaltungen als „internationale Gerichtsbarkeit“ zu betiteln. Dies ist keineswegs ein bloßer Streit um Worte, da hinter diesen Alternativen unterschiedliche rechtswissenschaftliche Auffassungen stehen. Im Folgenden sei gezeigt, dass anders als die Be-zeichnung „Internationale Streitbeilegung“ suggeriert, nicht nur eine, sondern vier Funktionen die Rechtsprechung heutiger internationaler Gerichte kennzeichnen. Es handelt sich dabei um: Streitbeilegung im Einzelfall, Stabilisierung normativer Erwartungen, Rechtschöpfung sowie Kontrolle und Legitimation öffentlicher Gewalt. Die Ana-lyse dieser Funktionen zeigt, dass die Bezeichnung „Internationale Streitbeilegung“ überkommen ist. Entsprechend sollte die Bezeichnung des Fachs geändert und es als Teil des Fachs internationale Institutionen verortet werden.