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Although global- and catchment-scale hydrological models are often shown to accurately simulate long-term runoff time-series, far less is known about their suitability for capturing hydrological extremes, such as droughts. Here we evaluated simulations of hydrological droughts from nine catchment scale hydrological models (CHMs) and eight global scale hydrological models (GHMs) for eight large catchments: Upper Amazon, Lena, Upper Mississippi, Upper Niger, Rhine, Tagus, Upper Yangtze and Upper Yellow. The simulations were conducted within the framework of phase 2a of the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISIMIP2a). We evaluated the ability of the CHMs, GHMs and their respective ensemble means (Ens-CHM and Ens-GHM) to simulate observed hydrological droughts of at least one month duration, over 31 years (1971–2001). Hydrological drought events were identified from runoff-deficits and the Standardised Runoff Index (SRI). In all catchments, the CHMs performed relatively better than the GHMs, for simulating monthly runoff-deficits. The number of drought events identified under different drought categories (i.e. SRI values of -1 to -1.49, -1.5 to -1.99, and ≤-2) varied significantly between models. All the models, as well as the two ensemble means, have limited abilities to accurately simulate drought events in all eight catchments, in terms of their occurrence and magnitude. Overall, there are opportunities to improve both CHMs and GHMs for better characterisation of hydrological droughts.
Carbon is an element that controls planetary habitability, and is fundamental for life on Earth. Its behaviour has important consequences for the global climate system, the origin and evolution of life on Earth. While the biosphere and atmosphere’s carbon cycle only accounts for less than 1% of the global carbon budget, hidden reservoirs of deep carbon in the Earth’s interior comprise the predominant storage of carbon on the planet. At the Earth’s surface, 60-70 % of carbon is hosted by carbonate minerals, which are then transported to the Earth’s interior, mainly in the form of sediments, by subduction of the oceanic lithosphere. Subducting plates are subjected to decarbonation, dehydration, and melting with CO2 release via supra-subduction volcanism. Nevertheless, part of the subducted carbonates’ may survive and be further transported to the deep mantle. Direct evidence of the existence of carbonates in the Earth’s interior, possibly reaching down to the lower mantle, comes from the finding of syngenetic inclusions of carbonates in diamonds and mantle xenoliths. The presence of carbonates in the deep Earth has a critical effect on the physical properties of the mantle. Melting and chemical speciation of the mantle are strongly affected by the form of C and carbonate stability. Therefore, the study of the stability and physical properties of carbonates at high pressures and temperatures is fundamental, because understanding the processes involved in the deep carbon cycle helps to improve our picture of the whole mantle.
The systematic characterization of the elastic properties of carbonates as a function of their structure and chemical composition is of great importance because it may allow to identify their presence and distribution by seismology. Inverting seismic observations to successfully constrain the chemical composition and mineralogy of the Earth’s interior requires knowledge of the physical properties of all possible Earth’s materials at pressures and temperatures applicable to the Earth’s interior. Up to now, a multitude of studies has focused on the construction of phase diagrams and structural transitions by means of X-ray diffraction and vibrational spectroscopy experiments.
Few studies are available on the complete elastic tensor of carbonates, however most of the datasets are not accompanied by an accurate characterization of the samples, which are often solid solutions and the exact chemical composition, density or the details about the experimental methods used are not presented. The aim of this thesis is to study the effect of chemical composition on the elastic properties of carbonates, providing a reliable dataset on the elasticity of the main carbonates. In particular, the elastic properties of crystalline aragonite, CaCO3, and Fe-dolomite, (Ca, Mg, Fe)(CO3)2, with different compositions were studied by Brillouin spectroscopy at ambient conditions. Brillouin spectroscopy was also used to investigate the elastic behaviour of amorphous calcium carbonate samples with different water contents (up to 18 wt%) at high pressures, up to 20 GPa.
Furthermore, the importance of cationic substitution on the structure and high pressure behaviour of carbonates was investigated by studying a synthetic CaCO3-SrCO3 solid solution at ambient conditions and at high pressures, up to 10 GPa, by single crystal X-ray diffraction. Finally, the study of the effect of composition on the elastic properties of families of isostructural solids was also extended to a different class of materials, the metal guanidinium formates. The elasticity of a family of perovskite metal organic frameworks, metal guanidinium formates C(NH2)3MII(HCOO)3, with MII =Mn, Zn, Cu, Co, Cd and Ca was investigated by combining Brillouin spectroscopy, resonant ultrasound spectroscopy, density functional theory and thermal diffuse scattering analysis.
Titanite is a potentially powerful U–Pb petrochronometer that may record metamorphism, metasomatism, and deformation. Titanite may also incorporate significant inherited Pb, which may lead to inaccurate and geologically ambiguous U–Pb dates if a proper correction is not or cannot be applied. Here, we present laser ablation inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry (LA-ICP-MS)-derived titanite U–Pb dates and trace element concentrations for two banded calcsilicate gneisses from south-central Maine, USA (SSP18-1A and SSP18-1B). Single spot common Pb-corrected dates range from 400 to 280 Ma with ±12–20 Ma propagated 2SE. Titanite grains in sample SSP18-1B exhibit regular core-to-rim variations in texture, composition, and date. We identify four titanite populations: (1) 397 ± 5 Ma (95% CL) low Y + HREE cores and mottled grains, (2) 370 ± 7 Ma high Y + REE mantles and cores, (3) 342 ± 6 Ma cores with high Y + REE and no Eu anomaly, and (4) 295 ± 6 Ma LREE-depleted rims. We interpret the increase in titanite Y + HREE between ca. 397 and ca. 370 Ma to constrain the timing of diopside fracturing and recrystallization and amphibole breakdown. Apparent Zr-in-titanite temperatures (803 ± 36°C at 0.5 ± 0.2 GPa) and increased XDi suggest a thermal maximum at ca. 370 Ma. Population 3 domains dated to ca. 342 Ma exhibit no Eu anomaly and are observed only in compositional bands dominated by diopside (>80 vol%), suggesting limited equilibrium between titanite and plagioclase. Finally, low LREE and high U/Th in Population 4 titanite dates the formation of hydrous phases, such as allanite, during high XH2O fluid infiltration at ca. 295 Ma. In contrast to the well-defined date–composition–texture relationships observed for titanite from SSP18-1B, titanite grains from sample SSP18-1A exhibit complex zoning patterns and little correlation between texture, composition, and date. We hypothesize that the incorporation of variable amounts of radiogenic Pb from dissolved titanite into recrystallized domains resulted in mixed dates spanning 380–330 Ma. Although titanite may reliably record multiple phases of metamorphism, these data highlight the importance of considering U–Pb data along with chemical and textural data to screen for inherited radiogenic Pb.
Ob Klimawandel oder Luftverschmutzung: Die chemischen und physikalischen Prozesse in der Atmosphäre haben wichtige Auswirkungen auf die menschliche Gesundheit und Ökosysteme. Dabei ist die Atmosphäre mehr als ein Gemisch aus Stickstoff, Sauerstoff, Wasserdampf, Helium und Kohlenstoffdioxid. Es gibt zahlreiche Spurengase, deren Gesamtanteil am Volumen weniger als 1 % ausmacht. In dieser Arbeit werden Stickstoffoxide, Schwefeldioxid, Kohlenstoffmonoxid und Schwefelsäure näher betrachtet, die im Rahmen der flugzeugbasierten Messkampagne Chemistry of the Atmosphere: field experiment in Europe (CAFE-EU)/BLUESKY gemessen wurden.
Die Stickstoffoxide NO und NO2, als NOx zusammengefasst, besitzen hauptsächlich anthropogene Quellen, allen voran fossile Verbrennung und industrielle Prozesse. Zwischen NO und NO2 besteht ein photochemisches Gleichgewicht, sodass in der Atmosphäre vor allem NO2 in relevanten Konzentrationen vorkommt; dies wirkt aufgrund der Bildung von Salpetersäure, HNO3, in wässriger Lösung beim Einatmen ätzend und ist entsprechend gesundheitsschädlich. Troposphärisches Ozon, O3, wesentlicher Bestandteil von Sommersmog, wird hauptsächlich durch die Reaktion von NO mit Peroxiden (HO2 und RO2) gebildet. In der Stratosphäre entstehen NOx hauptsächlich durch die Photodissoziation von Lachgas, N2O, das aufgrund seiner langen Lebenszeit von der Tropo- in die Stratosphäre transportiert werden kann und dort die wichtigste Stickstoffquelle darstellt. In der Stratosphäre tragen NOx zum katalytischen Abbaumechanismus des Ozons bei (Bliefert, 2002; Seinfeld and Pandis, 2016).
Schwefeldioxid, SO2, ist ein toxisches Gas, dessen atmosphärische Quellen hauptsächlich anthropogen sind, nämlich fossile Verbrennung und industrielle Prozesse; Senken sind trockene und feuchte Deposition, wobei letztere zu saurem Regen führen kann. Seit den 1980ern sinken die globalen SO2-Emissionen. SO2 kann in der Atmosphäre zu Sulfat und Schwefelsäure oxidiert werden, was Hauptbestandteil des Wintersmogs ist. Der wichtigste Mechanismus ist die Oxidation mit dem Hydroxylradikal, OH˙, unter Beteiligung von Wasserdampf. In der Stratosphäre ist Carbonylsulfid, OCS, die wichtigste Schwefelquelle, da es analog zum N2O dank seiner langen Lebenszeit von der Tropo- in die Stratosphäre transportiert werden kann (Bliefert, 2002; Seinfeld und Pandis, 2016). Typische Konzentrationen von Schwefelsäure sind 105 cm–3 nachts und 107 cm–3 tagsüber in der Troposphäre sowie 105 cm–3 tagsüber in der Stratosphäre (Clarke et al., 1999; Weber et al., 1999; Fiedler et al., 2005; Arnold, 2008; Kürten et al., 2016; Berresheim et al., 2000).
Kohlenstoffmonoxid, CO, ist ein toxisches Gas, das zu gleichen Teilen durch direkte Emissionen (v.a. Biomasseverbrennung und fossile Verbrennung) und In-situ-Oxidation (v.a. von Methan, Isopren und industriellen Kohlenwasserstoffen) in die Atmosphäre gelangt. Die Hauptsenke ist die Reaktion mit OH˙ in der Troposphäre. Seit 2000 sinkt die globale CO-Konzentration (Bliefert, 2002).
Doch neben Gasen sind auch Aerosolpartikel fester Bestandteil des Gemisches Luft, welche luftgetragene feste oder flüssige Teilchen sind. Primäre Aerosolpartikel werden direkt als solche in die Atmosphäre emittiert, während sekundäre Aerosolpartikel in der Atmosphäre gebildet werden, indem gasförmige Vorläufersubstanzen mit geringer Flüchtigkeit auf primären Partikeln kondensieren oder durch Zusammenclustern und Anwachsen komplett neue Partikel bilden. Aerosolpartikel ermöglichen als Wolkenkondensationskeime erst die Bildung von Wolken und wirken somit – neben ihrem direkten reflektierenden Effekt – durch Änderung der Wolkenbedeckung und -eigenschaften insgesamt kühlend aufs Klima und beeinflussen die lokalen und globalen Wasserkreisläufe. Doch sie haben auch negative Auswirkungen auf die menschliche Gesundheit und sind für eine Verkürzung der durchschnittlichen Lebensdauer in Regionen mit hohen Feinstaubbelastungen verantwortlich (Seinfeld und Pandis, 2016; Bellouin et al., 2020; World Health Organization, 2016).
Neben den bisher betrachteten neutralen, also ungeladenen Gasen und Partikeln sind Ionen in der Gasphase sowie geladene Partikel ebenfalls Bestandteil der Atmosphäre. Sie spielen bei vielen atmosphärischen Prozessen eine wichtige Rolle, wie etwa bei Gewittern, Radiowellenübertragung und ionen-induzierter Nukleation von Aerosolpartikeln. Die Hauptquellen für Ionisation in der Tropo- und Stratosphäre ist die galaktische kosmische Strahlung, die entgegen ihrem Namen hauptsächlich aus Protonen und α-Partikeln (primäre Partikel genannt) besteht und in der Erdatmosphäre durch Kollision mit Luftmolekülen Teilchenschauer von sekundären Partikeln (u.a. Myonen, Pionen und Neutrinos) hervorruft. Die primären und sekundären Partikel können die Luftmoleküle ionisieren unter Entstehung von N+, N2+, O+, O2+ und Elektronen. Sauerstoff reagiert rasch mit letzteren zu O– und O2–. Diese Kationen und Anionen reagieren weiter, bis Ionenclustern der Summenformeln (HNO3)n(H2O)mNO3– und H+(H2O)n(B)m gebildet werden, wobei B Basen wie Methanol, Aceton, Ammoniak oder Pyridin sind. Weitere Ionisationsquellen sind der Zerfall des Radioisotops 222Rn in Bodennähe und ionisierende Solarstrahlung oberhalb der Stratosphäre. Atmosphärische Ionen haben zwei wichtige Senken: die Wiedervereinigung, auch Rekombination genannt, bei der sich ein Kation und ein Anion gegenseitig neutralisieren sowie das Anhaften an Aerosolpartikeln. Letztere Senke ist vor allem in der Troposphäre aufgrund der relativ hohen Konzentration an Aerosolpartikeln relevant (Arnold, 2008; Viggiano und Arnold, 1995; Bazilevskaya et al., 2008; Hirsikko et al., 2011).
Nontarget screening exhibits a seasonal cycle of PM2.5 organic aerosol composition in Beijing
(2022)
The molecular composition of atmospheric particulate matter (PM) in the urban environment is complex, and it remains a challenge to identify its sources and formation pathways. Here, we report the seasonal variation of the molecular composition of organic aerosols (OA), based on 172 PM2.5 filter samples collected in Beijing, China, from February 2018 to March 2019. We applied a hierarchical cluster analysis (HCA) on a large nontarget-screening data set and found a strong seasonal difference in the OA chemical composition. Molecular fingerprints of the major compound clusters exhibit a unique molecular pattern in the Van Krevelen-space. We found that summer OA in Beijing features a higher degree of oxidation and a higher proportion of organosulfates (OSs) in comparison to OA during wintertime, which exhibits a high contribution from (nitro-)aromatic compounds. OSs appeared with a high intensity in summer-haze conditions, indicating the importance of anthropogenic enhancement of secondary OA in summer Beijing. Furthermore, we quantified the contribution of the four main compound clusters to total OA using surrogate standards. With this approach, we are able to explain a small fraction of the OA (∼11–14%) monitored by the Time-of-Flight Aerosol Chemical Speciation Monitor (ToF-ACSM). However, we observe a strong correlation between the sum of the quantified clusters and OA measured by the ToF-ACSM, indicating that the identified clusters represent the major variability of OA seasonal cycles. This study highlights the potential of using nontarget screening in combination with HCA for gaining a better understanding of the molecular composition and the origin of OA in the urban environment.
Questions: Both species turnover and intraspecific trait variation can affect plant assemblage dynamics along environmental gradients. Here, we asked how community assemblage patterns in relation to species turnover and intraspecific variation differ between endemic and non-endemic species. We hypothesized that endemic species show lower intraspecific variation than non-endemic species because they tend to have high rates of in situ speciation, whereas non-endemic species are expected to have a larger gene pool and higher phenotypic plasticity.
Location: La Palma, Canary Islands.
Methods: We established 44 sampling sites along a directional gradient of precipitation, heat load, soil nitrogen, phosphorus and pH. Along this gradient, we estimated species abundances and measured three traits (plant height, leaf area and leaf thickness) on perennial endemic and non-endemic plant species. In total, we recorded traits for 1,223 plant individuals of 43 species. Subsequently, we calculated community-weighted mean traits to measure the relative contribution of species turnover, intraspecific variation and their covariation along the analysed gradient.
Results: The contribution of intraspecific variation to total variation was similar in endemic and non-endemic assemblages. For plant height, intraspecific variation explained roughly as much variation as species turnover. For leaf area and leaf thickness, intraspecific variation explained almost no variation. Species turnover effects mainly drove trait responses along the environmental gradient, but intraspecific variation was important for responses in leaf area to precipitation.
Conclusions: Despite their distinct evolutionary history, endemic and non-endemic plant assemblages show similar patterns in species turnover and intraspecific variation. Our results indicate that species turnover is the main component of trait variation in the underlying study system. However, intraspecific variation can increase individual species’ fitness in response to precipitation. Overall, our study challenges the theory that intraspecific trait variation is more important for the establishment of non-endemic species compared with endemic species.
Seasonal forecasting systems still have difficulties predicting temperature over continental regions, while their performance is better over some maritime regions. On the other hand, the land surface is a substantial source of (sub-)seasonal predictability. A crucial land surface component in focus here is the snow cover, which stores water and modulates the surface radiation balance. This paper’s goal is to attribute snow cover seasonal forecasting biases and lack of skill to either initialization or parameterization errors. For this purpose, we compare the snow representation in five seasonal forecasting systems (from DWD, ECMWF, Météo-France, CMCC, and ECCC) and their performances in predicting snow and 2-m temperature over a Siberian region against ERA5 reanalysis and station data. Although all systems use similar atmospheric and land initialization approaches and data, their snow and temperature biases differ in sign and amplitude. Too-large initial snow biases persist over the forecast period, delaying and prolonging the melting phase. The simplest snow scheme (used in DWD’s system) shows too-early and fast melting in spring. However, systems including multi-layer snow schemes (Météo-France and CMCC) do not necessarily perform better. Both initialization and parameterization are causes of snow biases, but, depending on the system, one can be more dominant.
An update of the two-energy turbulence scheme is presented, the 2TE + APDF scheme. The original version of the two-energy scheme is able to successfully model shallow convection without the need of an additional parameterization for non-local fluxes. However, the performance of the two-energy scheme is worse in stratocumulus cases, where it tends to overestimate the erosion of the stable layers. We have identified the causes: the non-local stability parameter does not consider local stratification, the scheme lacks an internal parameter that could distinguish between a shallow convection regime and a stratocumulus regime, and it uses an inflexible turbulence length scale formulation. To alleviate this problem, we propose several modifications: an update of the stability parameter, a modified computation of the turbulence length scale, and the introduction of the entropy potential temperature to distinguish between a shallow convection and a stratocumulus regime. In addition, the two-energy scheme is coupled to a simplified assumed probability density function method in order to achieve a more universal representation of the cloudy regimes. The updated turbulence scheme is evaluated for several idealized cases and one selected real case in the ICOsahedral Nonhydrostatic (ICON) modeling framework. The results show that the updated scheme corrects the overmixing problem in the stratocumulus cases. The performance of the updated scheme is comparable to the operational setup, and can be thus used instead of the operational turbulence and shallow convection scheme in ICON. Additionally, the updated scheme improves the coupling with dynamics, which is beneficial for the modeling of coherent flow structures in the atmospheric boundary layer.
Sulfur in the slab: a sulfur-isotopes and thermodynamic-modeling perspective from exhumed terranes
(2022)
Sulfur is a key element in the subduction zone-volcanic arc system; however, the mechanism(s) that recycle sulfur from the slab into the overlying volcanic arc are debated. Here we summarize recent advances in quantifying this component of the deep sulfur cycle. First, primary metamorphic or inherited sulfides in oceanic-type eclogites are only rarely observed as inclusions and are typically absent from the rock matrix. Additionally, sulfides are relatively common in rocks metasomatized at the slab-mantle interface by slab-derived fluids during exhumation. Combined, these two observations suggest that sulfur loss from subducted mafic crust is relatively efficient. Thermodynamic modeling in Perple_X using the Holland and Powell (2011) database combined with the Deep Earth Water model suggests that the efficiency and speciation of sulfur loss varies depending on the degree of seafloor alteration prior to subduction and the geothermal gradient of the slab. In relatively cold subduction zones, such as Honshu, slab-fluids derived from subducted mafic crust are predicted to exhibit elevated concentrations of HSO4-, SO42-, HSO3-, and CaSO4(aq), whereas hot subduction zones, such as Cascadia, are predicted to produce slab fluids enriched in HS- and H2S at lower pressures. The oxidation of sulfur expelled from subducted pyrite is balanced by the reduction of Fe3+ to Fe2+, consistent with the low Fe3+/SFe of exhumed eclogites relative to blueschists and altered oceanic crust. Where oxidized S-bearing fluids are produced, they are anticipated to interact with more reduced rocks at the slab-mantle interface and within the mantle wedge, resulting in sulfide precipitation and significant isotopic fractionation. The δ34S values of slab fluids are estimated to fall between -11 and +8 ‰. Rayleigh fractionation during progressive fluid-rock interaction results in fractionations of tens of per mil as oxidized species are depleted and sulfides are precipitated, resulting in δ34S values of sulfides that easily span the -21.7 to +13.9 ‰ range observed in metasomatic sulfides in exhumed high-pressure rocks. However, in subduction zones where reduced species prevail, the S isotopic signature of slab fluids is expected to reflect their source and will exhibit a narrower range in δ34S values. As a result, the δ34S values measured in arc magmas may not always be a reliable indicator of the contribution of different components of the slab, such as sediments vs. AOC. Additionally, the impact of S recycling on the oxygen fugacity of arc magmas is expected to vary both spatially and temporally throughout Earth history.
This work describes the development and characterization of two instruments and their data evaluation, which contributes to a better understanding of new particle formation and growth, as well as their interactions with clouds. Both instruments were characterized at the Cosmics Leaving Outdoor Droplets (CLOUD) experiment at the European Center for Nuclear Research (CERN).