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Simple Summary: The incidence of brain metastases from breast cancer is increasing and the treatment is still a major challenge. Several scores have been developed in order to estimate the prognosis of patients with brain metastases by objective criteria. Here, we validated all three published graded-prognostic-assessment (GPA)-scores in a subcohort of 882 breast cancer patients with brain metastases in the Brain Metastases in the German Breast Cancer (BMBC) registry. Although all three available GPA-scores were associated with OS, they all show limitations mainly in predicting short-term (below 3 months) survival but also in long-term (above 12 months) survival. We discuss the test performances of all scores in our work and provide evidence how physicians should use them as a tool to select patients for different treatment options.
Abstract: Several scores have been developed in order to estimate the prognosis of patients with brain metastases (BM) by objective criteria. The aim of this analysis was to validate all three published graded-prognostic-assessment (GPA)-scores in a subcohort of 882 breast cancer (BC) patients with BM in the Brain Metastases in the German Breast Cancer (BMBC) registry. The median age at diagnosis of BM was 57 years. All in all, 22.3% of patients (n = 197) had triple-negative, 33.4% (n = 295) luminal A like, 25.1% (n = 221) luminal B/HER2-enriched like and 19.2% (n = 169) HER2 positive like BC. Age ≥60 years, evidence of extracranial metastases (ECM), higher number of BM, triple-negative subtype and low Karnofsky-Performance-Status (KPS) were all associated with worse overall survival (OS) in univariate analysis (p < 0.001 each). All three GPA-scores were associated with OS. The breast-GPA showed the highest probability of classifying patients with survival above 12 months in the best prognostic group (specificity 68.7% compared with 48.1% for the updated breast-GPA and 21.8% for the original GPA). Sensitivities for predicting 3 months survival were very low for all scores. In this analysis, all GPA-scores showed only moderate diagnostic accuracy in predicting the OS of BC patients with BM.
Objective: To assess predictive factors for poststroke pneumonia (PSP) in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) due to large vessel occlusion (LVO) of the anterior circulation, with special regard to the impact of intravenous thrombolysis (IVT) and endovascular treatment (EVT) on the risk of PSP. As a secondary goal, the validity of the A2DS2, PNEUMONIA, and ISAN scores in LVO will be determined.
Methods: Analysis was based on consecutive data for the years 2017 to 2019 from the prospective inpatient stroke registry covering the entire federal state of Hesse, Germany, using the Kruskal-Wallis test and binary logistic regression.
Results: Data from 4,281 patients with LVO were included in the analysis (54.8% female, median age = 78 years, range = 18–102), of whom 66.4% (n = 2,843) received recanalization therapy (RCT). In total, 19.4% (n = 832) of all LVO patients developed PSP. Development of PSP was associated with an increase in overall in-hospital mortality of 32.1% compared with LVO patients without PSP (16.4%; p < 0.001). Incidence of PSP was increased in 2132 patients with either EVT (n = 928; 25.9% PSP incidence) or combined EVT plus IVT (n = 1,204; 24.1%), compared with 2,149 patients with IVT alone (n = 711; 15.2%) or conservative treatment only (n = 1,438; 13.5%; p < 0.001). Multivariate analysis identified EVT (OR 1.5) and combined EVT plus IVT (OR 1.5) as significant independent risk factors for PSP. Furthermore, male sex (OR 1.9), age ≥ 65 years (OR 1.7), dysphagia (OR 3.2) as well as impaired consciousness at arrival (OR 1.7) and the comorbidities diabetes (OR 1.4) and atrial fibrillation (OR 1.3) were significantly associated risk factors (each p < 0.001). Minor stroke (NIHSS ≤ 4) was associated with a significant lower risk of PSP (OR 0.5). Performance of risk stratification scores varied between A2DS2 (96.1% sensitivity, 20.7% specificity), PNEUMONIA (78.2% sensitivity and 45.1% specificity) and ISAN score (98.0% sensitivity, 20.0% specificity).
Conclusion: Nearly one in five stroke patients with LVO develops PSP during acute care. This risk of PSP is further increased if an EVT is performed. Other predictive factors are consistent with those previously described for all AIS patients. Available risk stratification scores proved to be sensitive tools in LVO patients but lack specificity.
Objective To explore factors that potentially impact external validation performance while developing and validating a prognostic model for hospital admissions (HAs) in complex older general practice patients.
Study design and setting Using individual participant data from four cluster-randomised trials conducted in the Netherlands and Germany, we used logistic regression to develop a prognostic model to predict all-cause HAs within a 6-month follow-up period. A stratified intercept was used to account for heterogeneity in baseline risk between the studies. The model was validated both internally and by using internal-external cross-validation (IECV).
Results Prior HAs, physical components of the health-related quality of life comorbidity index, and medication-related variables were used in the final model. While achieving moderate discriminatory performance, internal bootstrap validation revealed a pronounced risk of overfitting. The results of the IECV, in which calibration was highly variable even after accounting for between-study heterogeneity, agreed with this finding. Heterogeneity was equally reflected in differing baseline risk, predictor effects and absolute risk predictions.
Conclusions Predictor effect heterogeneity and differing baseline risk can explain the limited external performance of HA prediction models. With such drivers known, model adjustments in external validation settings (eg, intercept recalibration, complete updating) can be applied more purposefully.
Trial registration number PROSPERO id: CRD42018088129.
Predicting adult Attention Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD) using vocal acoustic features
(2021)
Background: It is a key concern in psychiatric research to investigate objective measures to support and ultimately improve diagnostic processes. Current gold standard diagnostic procedures for attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) are mainly subjective and prone to bias. Objective measures such as neuropsychological measures and EEG markers show limited specificity. Recent studies point to alterations of voice and speech production to reflect psychiatric symptoms also related to ADHD. However, studies investigating voice in large clinical samples allowing for individual-level prediction of ADHD are lacking. The aim of this study was to explore a role of prosodic voice measures as objective marker of ADHD.
Methods: 1005 recordings were analyzed from 387 ADHD patients, 204 healthy controls, and 100 clinical (psychiatric) controls. All participants (age range 18-59 years, mean age 34.4) underwent an extensive diagnostic examination according to gold standard methods and provided speech samples (3 min in total) including free and given speech. Paralinguistic features were calculated, and random forest based classifications were performed using a 10-fold cross-validation with 100 repetitions controlling for age, sex, and education. Association of voice features and ADHD-symptom severity assessed in the clinical interview were analyzed using random forest regressions.
Results and Conclusion ADHD was predicted with AUC = 0.76. The analysis of a non-comorbid sample of ADHD resulted in similar classification performance. Paralinguistic features were associated with ADHD-symptom severity as indicated by random forest regression. In female participants, particularly with age < 32 years, paralinguistic features showed the highest classification performance (AUC = 0.86).
Paralinguistic features based on derivatives of loudness and fundamental frequency seem to be promising candidates for further research into vocal acoustic biomarkers of ADHD. Given the relatively good performance in female participants independent of comorbidity, vocal measures may evolve as a clinically supportive option in the complex diagnostic process in this patient group.
Competing Interest Statement: EA participated and received payments in the national advisory board ADHD of Shire/Takeda. JL is co-founder and CTO of PeakProfiling GmbH. He created audio-features used in this study, that are intellectual property of PeakProfiling GmbH. FH received payments by PeakProfiling GmbH.
Clinical Trial: NCT01104623
Dysregulation of blood sphingolipids is an emerging topic in clinical science. The objective of this study was to determine preanalytical biases that typically occur in clinical and translational studies and that influence measured blood sphingolipid levels. Therefore, we collected blood samples from four healthy male volunteers to investigate the effect of storage conditions (time, temperature, long-term storage, freeze–thaw cycles), blood drawing (venous or arterial sampling, prolonged venous compression), and sample preparation (centrifugation, freezing) on sphingolipid levels measured by LC-MS/MS. Our data show that sphingosine 1-phosphate (S1P) and sphinganine 1-phosphate (SA1P) were upregulated in whole blood samples in a time- and temperature-dependent manner. Increased centrifugation at higher speeds led to lower amounts of S1P and SA1P. All other preanalytical biases did not significantly alter the amounts of S1P and SA1P. Further, in almost all settings, we did not detect differences in (dihydro)ceramide levels. In summary, besides time-, temperature-, and centrifugation-dependent changes in S1P and SA1P levels, sphingolipids in blood remained stable under practically relevant preanalytical conditions.
Purpose: Optimization of local therapies in synovial sarcoma (SS) considered unresectable at diagnosis is needed. We evaluated the effects of neoadjuvant versus adjuvant radiation versus surgery only on long-term outcomes.
Methods: Patients with macroscopic SS tumors before chemotherapy (IRS-group-III) in the trials CWS-81, CWS-86, CWS-91, CWS-96, CWS-2002-P and SoTiSaR-registry were analyzed. Local therapies were scheduled after 3 neoadjuvant chemotherapy cycles.
Results: Median age of 145 patients was 14.5 years. 106 survivors had median follow-up of 7.0 years. Tumor site was 96 extremities, 19 head–neck, 16 shoulder/hip, 14 trunk. Tumors were < 3 cm in 16, 3–5 cm in 28, 5–10 cm in 55, > 10 cm in 34 patients. In a secondary resection during chemotherapy, R0-status was accomplished in 82, R1 in 30, R2 in 21 (12 missing). Radiotherapy was administered to 115 (R0 61, R1 29, R2 20, missing 5), thereof 57 before and 52 after tumor resection. 23 were treated with surgery only. For all patients, 5 year event-free (EFS) and overall survival (OS) was 68.9% ± 7.6 (95%CI) and 79.1% ± 6.9. To establish independent significance, tumor site, size, surgical results and sequencing of local therapies were analyzed in a Cox regression analysis. Variables associated with EFS and OS are site, size and sequencing of local therapies. Variables associated with local recurrence are site, surgical results and sequencing of local therapies. The only variable associated with suffering metastatic recurrence is tumor size.
Conclusion: Differences in sequencing of local therapy procedures are independently associated with outcomes. Best local control is achieved when tumors are irradiated pre-operatively and undergo R0 or R1 resection thereafter.
Previous magnetoencephalography (MEG) studies have revealed gamma-band activity at sensors over parietal and fronto-temporal cortex during the delay phase of auditory spatial and non-spatial match-to-sample tasks, respectively. While this activity was interpreted as reflecting the memory maintenance of sound features, we noted that task-related activation differences might have been present already prior to the onset of the sample stimulus. The present study focused on the interval between a visual cue indicating which sound feature was to be memorized (lateralization or pitch) and sample sound presentation to test for task-related activation differences preceding stimulus encoding. MEG spectral activity was analyzed with cluster randomization tests (N = 15). Whereas there were no differences in frequencies below 40 Hz, gamma-band spectral amplitude (about 50–65 and 90–100 Hz) was higher for the lateralization than the pitch task. This activity was localized at right posterior and central sensors and present for several hundred ms after task cue offset. Activity at 50–65 Hz was also increased throughout the delay phase for the lateralization compared with the pitch task. Apparently cortical networks related to auditory spatial processing were activated after participants had been informed about the task.
Monitoring of minimal residual disease (MRD) or chimerism may help guide pre-emptive immunotherapy (IT) with a view to preventing relapse in childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) after transplantation. Patients with ALL who consecutively underwent transplantation in Frankfurt/Main, Germany between January 1, 2005 and July 1, 2014 were included in this retrospective study. Chimerism monitoring was performed in all, and MRD assessment was performed in 58 of 89 patients. IT was guided in 19 of 24 patients with mixed chimerism (MC) and MRD and by MRD only in another 4 patients with complete chimerism (CC). The 3-year probabilities of event-free survival (EFS) were .69 ± .06 for the cohort without IT and .69 ± .10 for IT patients. Incidences of relapse (CIR) and treatment-related mortality (CITRM) were equally distributed between both cohorts (without IT: 3-year CIR, .21 ± .05, 3-year CITRM, .10 ± .04; IT patients: 3-year CIR, .18 ± .09, 3-year CITRM .13 ± .07). Accordingly, 3-year EFS and 3-year CIR were similar in CC and MC patients with IT, whereas MC patients without IT experienced relapse. IT was neither associated with an enhanced immune recovery nor an increased risk for acute graft-versus-host disease. Relapse prevention by IT in patients at risk may lead to the same favorable outcome as found in CC and MRD-negative-patients. This underlines the importance of excellent MRD and chimerism monitoring after transplantation as the basis for IT to improve survival in childhood ALL.
Ataxia telangiectasia (A-T) is a primary immunodeficiency with mutations in the gene encoding the A-T mutated (ATM) protein that interacts with immune, hematopoietic, and endocrine targets resulting in broad multi-systemic clinical manifestations with a devastating outcome. Apart from a progressive neurodegenerative disorder, A-T leads to significantly increased susceptibility to malignancies. It is a matter of discussion whether pre-emptive allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (alloHSCT) using a reduced intensity conditioning regimen would be an option to restore immune-competence and prevent malignancy, as shown in animal models, because conventional treatment protocols of malignant diseases using radio- and/or chemotherapy have a high rate of therapy-related morbidity and mortality in these patients. We present the course of the disease, including immune reconstitution and neurological outcome following pre-emptive alloHSCT in a 4-year-old boy with A-T on a 6 year follow-up. Our manuscript provides a proof-of-concept of alloHSCT as an individual pre-emptive treatment strategy from which some A-T patients might benefit.
The emerging disciplines of lipidomics and metabolomics show great potential for the discovery of diagnostic biomarkers, but appropriate pre-analytical sample-handling procedures are critical because several analytes are prone to ex vivo distortions during sample collection. To test how the intermediate storage temperature and storage period of plasma samples from K3EDTA whole-blood collection tubes affect analyte concentrations, we assessed samples from non-fasting healthy volunteers (n = 9) for a broad spectrum of metabolites, including lipids and lipid mediators, using a well-established LC-MS-based platform. We used a fold change-based approach as a relative measure of analyte stability to evaluate 489 analytes, employing a combination of targeted LC-MS/MS and LC-HRMS screening. The concentrations of many analytes were found to be reliable, often justifying less strict sample handling; however, certain analytes were unstable, supporting the need for meticulous processing. We make four data-driven recommendations for sample-handling protocols with varying degrees of stringency, based on the maximum number of analytes and the feasibility of routine clinical implementation. These protocols also enable the simple evaluation of biomarker candidates based on their analyte-specific vulnerability to ex vivo distortions. In summary, pre-analytical sample handling has a major effect on the suitability of certain metabolites as biomarkers, including several lipids and lipid mediators. Our sample-handling recommendations will increase the reliability and quality of samples when such metabolites are necessary for routine clinical diagnosis.