Unlucky number 13? Manipulating evidence subject to snooping
- Questionable research practices have generated considerable recent interest throughout and beyond the scientific community. We subsume such practices involving secret data snooping that influences subsequent statistical inference under the term MESSing (manipulating evidence subject to snooping) and discuss, illustrate and quantify the possibly dramatic effects of several forms of MESSing using an empirical and a simple theoretical example. The empirical example uses numbers from the most popular German lottery, which seem to suggest that 13 is an unlucky number.
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| Author: | Uwe HasslerGND, Marc-Oliver PohleORCiDGND |
|---|---|
| URN: | urn:nbn:de:hebis:30:3-753761 |
| DOI: | https://doi.org/10.1111/insr.12488 |
| ISSN: | 1751-5823 |
| Parent Title (English): | International statistical review |
| Publisher: | Wiley-Blackwell |
| Place of publication: | Oxford ; Malden, Mass |
| Document Type: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Date of Publication (online): | 2022/02/09 |
| Date of first Publication: | 2022/02/09 |
| Publishing Institution: | Universitätsbibliothek Johann Christian Senckenberg |
| Release Date: | 2023/09/07 |
| Tag: | data snooping; p-hacking; p-values; research transparency |
| Volume: | 90 |
| Issue: | 2 |
| Page Number: | 14 |
| First Page: | 397 |
| Last Page: | 410 |
| Note: | Open access funding enabled and organized by Projekt DEAL. |
| HeBIS-PPN: | 512980063 |
| Institutes: | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
| Dewey Decimal Classification: | 3 Sozialwissenschaften / 31 Statistiken / 310 Sammlungen allgemeiner Statistiken |
| 3 Sozialwissenschaften / 33 Wirtschaft / 330 Wirtschaft | |
| Sammlungen: | Universitätspublikationen |
| Licence (German): |  Creative Commons - CC BY - Namensnennung 4.0 International |
