Exit strategies
- We study alternative scenarios for exiting the post-crisis fiscal and monetary accommodation using the model of Angeloni and Faia (2010), that combines a standard DSGE framework with a fragile banking sector, suitably modified and calibrated for the euro area. Credibly announced and fast fiscal consolidations dominate – based on simple criteria – alternative strategies incorporating various degrees of gradualism and surprise. The fiscal adjustment should be based on spending cuts or else be relatively skewed towards consumption taxes. The phasing out of monetary accommodation should be simultaneous or slightly delayed. We also find that, contrary to widespread belief, Basel III may well have an expansionary macroeconomic effect. Keywords: Exit Strategies , Debt Consolidation , Fiscal Policy , Monetary Policy , Capital Requirements , Bank Runs JEL Classification: G01, E63, H12
| Author: | Ignazio AngeloniORCiDGND, Ester FaiaGND, Roland Winkler |
|---|---|
| URN: | urn:nbn:de:hebis:30-87138 |
| Parent Title (German): | Center for Financial Studies (Frankfurt am Main): CFS working paper series ; No. 2010,25 |
| Series (Serial Number): | CFS working paper series (2010, 25) |
| Document Type: | Working Paper |
| Language: | English |
| Year of Completion: | 2010 |
| Year of first Publication: | 2010 |
| Publishing Institution: | Universitätsbibliothek Johann Christian Senckenberg |
| Release Date: | 2010/12/15 |
| Tag: | bank runs; capital requirements; debt consolidation; exit strategies; monetary policy; fiscal policy |
| Issue: | Version December 3, 2010 |
| Page Number: | 55 |
| HeBIS-PPN: | 230655084 |
| Institutes: | Wissenschaftliche Zentren und koordinierte Programme / Center for Financial Studies (CFS) |
| Dewey Decimal Classification: | 3 Sozialwissenschaften / 33 Wirtschaft / 330 Wirtschaft |
| Licence (German): |  Deutsches Urheberrecht |
