Open Access

Markus Pfenninger

• There is increasing evidence that rapid phenotypic adaptation of quantitative traits is not uncommon in nature. However, the circumstances under which rapid adaptation of polygenic traits occurs are not yet understood. Building on previous concepts of soft selection, i.e. frequency and density dependent selection, I developed and tested the hypothesis that adaptation speed of a polygenic trait depends on the number of offspring per breeding pair in a randomly mating diploid population. Using individual based modelling on a range of offspring per parent (2–200) in populations of various size (100–10000 individuals), I could show that the by far largest proportion of variance (42%) was explained by the offspring number, regardless of genetic trait architecture (10–50 loci, different locus contribution distributions). In addition, it was possible to identify the majority of the responsible loci and account for even more of the observed phenotypic change with a moderate population size. The simulation results suggest that offspring numbers may a crucial factor for the adaptation speed of quantitative loci. Moreover, as large offspring numbers translates to a large phenotypic variance in the offspring of each parental pair, this genetic bet hedging strategy increases the chance to contribute to the next generation in unpredictable environments.