Core inflation in the Euro area : evidence from the structural VAR approach

  • Against the difficult background of analysing aggregated data in this paper core inflation in the euro area is estimated by means of the structural vector autoregressive approach. We demonstrate that the HICP sometimes seems to be a misleading indicator for monetary policy in the euro area. We furthermore compare our core inflation measure to the wide-spread "ex food and energy" measure, often referred to by the ECB. In addition we provide evidence that our measure is a coincident indicator of HICP inflation. Assessing the robustness of our core inflation measure we carefully conclude that it seems to be quite reliable. This Version: April, 2002 Revised edition published in: Allgemeinenes Statistisches Archiv, Vol 87, 2003. Klassifikation: C32, E31

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Author:Elke Hahn
Parent Title (German):Center for Financial Studies (Frankfurt am Main): CFS working paper series ; No. 2001,09
Series (Serial Number):CFS working paper series (2001, 09)
Document Type:Working Paper
Year of Completion:2002
Year of first Publication:2002
Publishing Institution:Universitätsbibliothek Johann Christian Senckenberg
Release Date:2005/06/13
Tag:Core Inflation; Euro Area; Structural VAR Approach
GND Keyword:Europäische Union; Wirtschafts- und Währungsunion; Inflation; Preisindex der Lebenshaltung; Verbraucherpreisindex; Lebenshaltungskosten; Vektor-autoregressives Modell; Schätzung
Issue:This version: April 2002
Page Number:33
Source:CFS working paper ; 2001,09 revised edition published in: Allgemeinenes Statistisches Archiv, Vol 87, 2003
Institutes:Wissenschaftliche Zentren und koordinierte Programme / Center for Financial Studies (CFS)
Dewey Decimal Classification:3 Sozialwissenschaften / 33 Wirtschaft / 330 Wirtschaft
Licence (German):License LogoDeutsches Urheberrecht