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Seasonal forecasting systems still have difficulties predicting temperature over continental regions, while their performance is better over some maritime regions. On the other hand, the land surface is a substantial source of (sub-)seasonal predictability. A crucial land surface component in focus here is the snow cover, which stores water and modulates the surface radiation balance. This paper’s goal is to attribute snow cover seasonal forecasting biases and lack of skill to either initialization or parameterization errors. For this purpose, we compare the snow representation in five seasonal forecasting systems (from DWD, ECMWF, Météo-France, CMCC, and ECCC) and their performances in predicting snow and 2-m temperature over a Siberian region against ERA5 reanalysis and station data. Although all systems use similar atmospheric and land initialization approaches and data, their snow and temperature biases differ in sign and amplitude. Too-large initial snow biases persist over the forecast period, delaying and prolonging the melting phase. The simplest snow scheme (used in DWD’s system) shows too-early and fast melting in spring. However, systems including multi-layer snow schemes (Météo-France and CMCC) do not necessarily perform better. Both initialization and parameterization are causes of snow biases, but, depending on the system, one can be more dominant.
We present the results of a multi-disciplinary investigation on a deciduous human tooth (Pradis 1), recently recovered from the Epigravettian layers of the Grotte di Pradis archaeological site (Northeastern Italian Prealps). Pradis 1 is an exfoliated deciduous molar (Rdm2), lost during life by an 11–12-year-old child. A direct radiocarbon date provided an age of 13,088–12,897 cal BP (95% probability, IntCal20). Amelogenin peptides extracted from tooth enamel and analysed through LC–MS/MS indicate that Pradis 1 likely belonged to a male. Time-resolved 87Sr/86Sr analyses by laser ablation mass spectrometry (LA-MC-ICPMS), combined with dental histology, were able to resolve his movements during the first year of life (i.e. the enamel mineralization interval). Specifically, the Sr isotope ratio of the tooth enamel differs from the local baseline value, suggesting that the child likely spent his first year of life far from Grotte di Pradis. Sr isotopes are also suggestive of a cyclical/seasonal mobility pattern exploited by the Epigravettian human group. The exploitation of Grotte di Pradis on a seasonal, i.e. summer, basis is also indicated by the faunal spectra. Indeed, the nearly 100% occurrence of marmot remains in the entire archaeozoological collection indicates the use of Pradis as a specialized marmot hunting or butchering site. This work represents the first direct assessment of sub-annual movements observed in an Epigravettian hunter-gatherer group from Northern Italy.
In recent years, many European cities have developed strategies to improve the quality of urban life by reducing car traffic and increasing the attractiveness of alternative modes and the built environment for residents. Frequently, at least in German cities, improvements to the cycling infrastructures play a key role in this transformation of urban spaces. One of those transformative interventions took place in 2020 in Frankfurt am Main (Germany). The city redesigned an arterial road close to the city centre, the Friedberger Landstrasse, by converting two car lanes to bicycle lanes. It is the aim of this study to analyse the effects of this change on the quality of urban life of its residents using a quantitative before-and-after study. The results demonstrate the expected improvements in the perceived quality of urban life for residents after the intervention. A more detailed analysis, however, shows that the residents’ perceptions vary according to their own mode use on the Friedberger Landstrasse and other sociodemographic characteristics. Thus, better cycling infrastructure does not only improve conditions for cyclists, but also contributes to a higher quality of urban life for residents and, therefore, improves the liveability of a city in two ways. We conclude that local transport policies are not only relevant for a modal shift, but also for the quality of urban life and, thus, related urban development strategies.
This article aims to show that a perspective that understands urban protests as a conflict between two or more interest-driven actors falls short. For a more comprehensive analysis, the complex fabric of multiple power-laden discourses, processes, networks and spatial conditions in which such conflicts are embedded must be taken into account. To this end, this article adopts an assemblage perspective. Taking the protests around the inner-city marina Port Vell in Barcelona as an example, this perspective is used to elaborate the various spatial conditions that shape this conflict.
We present the first oxidation state measurements for the subcontinental lithospheric mantle (SCLM) beneath the Rae craton, northern Canada, one of the largest components of the Canadian shield. In combination with major and trace element compositions for garnet and clinopyroxene, we assess the relationship between oxidation state and metasomatic overprinting. The sample suite comprises peridotite xenoliths from the central part (Pelly Bay) and the craton margin (Somerset Island) providing insights into lateral and vertical variations in lithospheric character. Our suite contains spinel, garnet-spinel and garnet peridotites, with most samples originating from 100 to 140 km depth. Within this narrow depth range we observe strong chemical gradients, including variations in oxygen fugacity (ƒO2) of over 4 log units. Both Pelly Bay and Somerset Island peridotites reveal a change in metasomatic type with depth. Observed geochemical systematics and textural evidence support the notion that Rae SCLM developed through amalgamation of different local domains, establishing chemical gradients from the start. These gradients were subsequently modified by migrating melts that drove further development of different types of metasomatic overprinting and variable oxidation at a range of length scales. This oxidation already apparent at ~ 100 km depth could have locally destabilised any pre-existing diamond or graphite.
Eisbildende Prozesse sind für die Wolkenbildung von großer Bedeutung und haben erhebliche Auswirkungen auf das Wetter und Klima der Erde, indem sie den Strahlungsantrieb und die Niederschlagsbildung beeinflussen. In den mittleren Breiten entsteht der meiste Niederschlag in sogenannten Mischphasenwolken (MPC), welche sowohl aus unterkühlten Wolkentröpfchen als auch aus Eiskristallen bestehen. Bei Temperaturen zwischen 0°C und -38°C erfolgt die Bildung von Eiskristallen in MPC in Gegenwart von Aerosolpartikeln, die als sogenannte Eiskeime (INP) die Fähigkeit besitzen, auf ihrer Oberfläche Eis zu nukleieren. Trotz der großen wissenschaftlichen Fortschritte in den letzten Jahrzehnten, weist der heterogene Eisbildungsprozess, als einer der wichtigsten in der Atmosphäre auftretenden Aerosol-Wolken-Wechselwirkungsprozesse, immer noch große Unsicherheiten auf. Um zukünftige Klimavorhersagen und -projektionen in Modellen besser abbilden zu können, ist es somit notwendig den Wissensgrad der räumlichen und zeitlichen Heterogenität von INP in Bezug auf Herkunft, Anzahl und Zusammensetzung zu erhöhen. Im Zentrum dieser Arbeit steht der Eiskeimzähler FINCH (Fast Ice Nucleus Chamber), der für Labor- und Feldexperimente von der Johann Wolfgang Goethe-Universität in Frankfurt am Main entwickelt wurde. Durch das Mischen des Probenstroms mit einem warm-feuchten und einem kalten-trockenen Luftstrom wird eine Übersättigung in der in-situ Eiskammer erreicht, die benötigt wird, eisbildende Partikel zu aktivieren. Die aktivierten Partikel können beim Durchströmen der Kammer zu Wassertropfen oder Eiskristallen anwachsen. Am Ausgang der Kammer wird die Anzahl und Größe der Partikel durch die FINCH-Optik erfasst. Als grundlegender Schritt und aufbauend auf den Charakterisierungsmessungen von Frank (2017) wurden in der vorliegenden Arbeit die Leistung, die Zuverlässigkeit sowie die Reproduzierbarkeit von FINCH in Validierungsexperimenten im Labor überprüft. Im Zuge dessen wurden heterogene Gefrierexperimente mit definierten Referenzaerosolproben (bspw. K-Feldspat) bei wasserübersättigten Bedingungen und verschiedenen Gefriertemperaturen durchgeführt. Für den Großteil der erzielten Resultate konnte eine zufriedenstellende Übereinstimmung mit Literaturwerten von anderen INP-Messinstrumenten aus der ganzen Welt erzielt werden. Es zeigte sich, dass die Leistungsfähigkeit von FINCH messtechnische Limitationen für Messexperimente bei Temperaturen >-10°C und <-30°C aufweist, was eine Einschränkung des Messbereichs bedeutet. Hinsichtlich der Quantifizierung des Unsicherheitsbereiches des Messgerätes in Bezug auf Temperatur und relativer Feuchte bedarf es im Nachgang an dieser Arbeit weiterer Charakterisierungsmessungen. Im Rahmen der Ice Nuclei Research Unit (INUIT) Forschergruppe wurde FINCH mit einem gepumpten Gegenstrom-Impaktor PCVI und dem online Einzelpartikel-Massenspektrometer ALABAMA gekoppelt. Diese spezielle Messmethodik dient zur chemischen und mikrophysikalischen Charakterisierung der INP und der Eispartikelresiduen (IPR). Der Fokus lag zunächst darauf die Funktionalität des gekoppelten Messsystems im Labor zu überprüfen. Ausführliche Charakterisierungsmessungen zeigten unter eisübersättigten und unterkühlten Bedingungen, dass das Prinzip der Trennung der INP von nicht-aktivierten Aerosolen und unterkühlten Tropfen hinter FINCH durch den PCVI funktioniert. Ebenso konnten erste quantitative Aussagen zur chemischen Zusammensetzung der IPR getroffen werden. Es zeigte sich, dass bei den Aktivierungsexperimenten ein geringer Anteil an Partikeltypen metallischer Art von ALABAMA detektiert wurden, der nicht dem untersuchten Aerosoltyp zugeordnet werden konnte. Der Ursprung dieser Kontamination konnte im Rahmen dieser Arbeit nicht abschließend geklärt werden und bedarf weiterer Validierungsmessungen im Labor. Atmosphärische Eiskeimkonzentrationen wurden im Rahmen von Feldmesskampagnen an der Hochalpinen Forschungsstation Jungfraujoch (JFJ) in den Schweizer Alpen und am Campus Riedberg der Johann Wolfgang Goethe-Universität in Frankfurt am Main untersucht. Hier konnten erste Erfahrungen mit Außenluftmessungen bezüglich der Leistungsfähigkeit und der Nachweisgrenze (LOD) des Messgerätes gesammelt werden. Durch den Einfluss der freien Troposphäre am JFJ waren die Messungen hauptsächlich von aerosolpartikelarmer Luft mit einer geringen Anzahl von Eiskeimen geprägt, so dass sich die gemessenen INP-Konzentrationen oftmals unter die Nachweisgrenze von FINCH fielen. Unter Einsatz eines Aerosolkonzentrators konnte die Detektionseffizienz verbessert und das LOD herabgesetzt werden. Am JFJ wurden die INP im Mittel bei einer Temperatur von -23°C und einem Wassersättigungsverhältnis von 107% beprobt. Die mediane (mittlere) INP-Konzentration inklusive LOD lag bei 2,1 (3,3) sL-1 und oberhalb des LOD bei 3,1 (4,5) sL-1. Ein Vergleich mit den Messungen am Campus Riedberg unter annähernd gleichen Bedingungen resultiert in ähnlichen Konzentrationen.
Following votes in the Coniacian Working Group, the Cretaceous Subcommission and the International Commission on Stratigraphy, on May 1st, 2021, the International Union of Geological Sciences voted unanimously to ratify the Global Stratotype Section and Point (GSSP) proposal for the base of the Coniacian Stage of the Upper Cretaceous Series and Cretaceous System. The lower boundary of the Coniacian Stage is placed at the base of Bed 46 of the Salzgitter-Salder section in northern Germany. The boundary is defined by the first appearance of the inoceramid bivalve species Cremnoceramus deformis erectus (Meek) and complemented by the Navigation carbon isotope event. Additional data include the bivalve genus Didymotis, foraminifera, ammonite, nannofossil and organic-walled dinoflagellate cyst events. Three auxiliary sections (Słupia Nadbrzeżna, central Poland; Střeleč, Czech Republic; El Rosario, NE Mexico) supplement the details of the boundary record in various facies, and in differing geographic and biogeographic contexts.
The climate system is one of the classical examples of a complex dynamical system consisting of interacting sub-systems through mass, momentum, and energy exchange across various spatial and temporal scales. This thesis aims to detect and quantify sub-component interactions from an information exchange (IE) perspective. For this purpose, IE estimators derived from information theory are explored and applied to the available climate data obtained from observations, reanalysis, global and regional climate models. Specifically, this thesis investigates the usefulness of information theory methods for process-oriented climate model evaluation.
Firstly, methods derived from the concepts of information theory such as transfer entropy and information flow along with their linear and non-linear estimation techniques are initially tested and applied to idealized two-dimensional dynamical systems. The results revealed an expected direction and magnitude of IE providing insights into underlying dynamics. However, as expected the linear estimators are robust for linear systems but fail for non-linear systems. Though the non-linear estimators (kernel and kraskov) showed expected results for all the idealized systems, their free tuning parameters are to be tested for consistent results. Moreover, these methods are sensitive to the available time series length.
A real world example case study involving the dynamics between the Indian and Pacific oceans revealed a physically consistent bi-directional IE. However, unexpected IE was detected in the example of North Atlantic and European air temperatures indicating hidden drivers. Though IE provides insights into system dynamics, the availability of time series length and the system at hand must be carefully taken into account before inferring any possible interpretations of the results.
Quantifying the IE from El-Ni\~{n}o southern oscillation (ENSO) and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) to the Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall (ISMR) with the observational and reanalysis data sets revealed that both ENSO and IOD are synergistic predictors for the inter-annual variability of the ISMR over central India i.e., the monsoon core region. Though the investigated three Global Climate Models (GCM) could not reveal the underlying IE dynamics of ENSO, IOD, and ISMR, a Regional Climate Model (RCM) simulation downscaling one of the GCMs with realistic large scale signals across the lateral boundaries showed good agreement with the observations.
Evaluating a coupled regional climate modeling system driven by two different global data sets with IE estimators revealed significant differences between the process chains linking the north-west Mediterranean sea surface temperatures, evaporation, wind speed, and the Vb-cyclone induced precipitation over Danube, Odra, and Elbe catchments in the historical period (1951-2005). Detailed investigation revealed that the north-west Mediterranean Sea in the coupled regional simulation driven by ERA-20C reanalysis corresponded to the Vb-cyclone precipitation over the three catchments while no such correspondence is noted in the EC-EARTH driven simulation. This discrepancy is attributed to the inheritance of the simulation biases from GCM into the RCM. In the future period (1965-2099), no significant changes in the processes are noted from the simulation.
Overall, this thesis used IE estimators in investigating the underlying dynamics of climate system and climate models. The estimators proved useful in providing insights into climate system dynamics assisting in a process based climate model evaluation.
Carbon is an element that controls planetary habitability, and is fundamental for life on Earth. Its behaviour has important consequences for the global climate system, the origin and evolution of life on Earth. While the biosphere and atmosphere’s carbon cycle only accounts for less than 1% of the global carbon budget, hidden reservoirs of deep carbon in the Earth’s interior comprise the predominant storage of carbon on the planet. At the Earth’s surface, 60-70 % of carbon is hosted by carbonate minerals, which are then transported to the Earth’s interior, mainly in the form of sediments, by subduction of the oceanic lithosphere. Subducting plates are subjected to decarbonation, dehydration, and melting with CO2 release via supra-subduction volcanism. Nevertheless, part of the subducted carbonates’ may survive and be further transported to the deep mantle. Direct evidence of the existence of carbonates in the Earth’s interior, possibly reaching down to the lower mantle, comes from the finding of syngenetic inclusions of carbonates in diamonds and mantle xenoliths. The presence of carbonates in the deep Earth has a critical effect on the physical properties of the mantle. Melting and chemical speciation of the mantle are strongly affected by the form of C and carbonate stability. Therefore, the study of the stability and physical properties of carbonates at high pressures and temperatures is fundamental, because understanding the processes involved in the deep carbon cycle helps to improve our picture of the whole mantle.
The systematic characterization of the elastic properties of carbonates as a function of their structure and chemical composition is of great importance because it may allow to identify their presence and distribution by seismology. Inverting seismic observations to successfully constrain the chemical composition and mineralogy of the Earth’s interior requires knowledge of the physical properties of all possible Earth’s materials at pressures and temperatures applicable to the Earth’s interior. Up to now, a multitude of studies has focused on the construction of phase diagrams and structural transitions by means of X-ray diffraction and vibrational spectroscopy experiments.
Few studies are available on the complete elastic tensor of carbonates, however most of the datasets are not accompanied by an accurate characterization of the samples, which are often solid solutions and the exact chemical composition, density or the details about the experimental methods used are not presented. The aim of this thesis is to study the effect of chemical composition on the elastic properties of carbonates, providing a reliable dataset on the elasticity of the main carbonates. In particular, the elastic properties of crystalline aragonite, CaCO3, and Fe-dolomite, (Ca, Mg, Fe)(CO3)2, with different compositions were studied by Brillouin spectroscopy at ambient conditions. Brillouin spectroscopy was also used to investigate the elastic behaviour of amorphous calcium carbonate samples with different water contents (up to 18 wt%) at high pressures, up to 20 GPa.
Furthermore, the importance of cationic substitution on the structure and high pressure behaviour of carbonates was investigated by studying a synthetic CaCO3-SrCO3 solid solution at ambient conditions and at high pressures, up to 10 GPa, by single crystal X-ray diffraction. Finally, the study of the effect of composition on the elastic properties of families of isostructural solids was also extended to a different class of materials, the metal guanidinium formates. The elasticity of a family of perovskite metal organic frameworks, metal guanidinium formates C(NH2)3MII(HCOO)3, with MII =Mn, Zn, Cu, Co, Cd and Ca was investigated by combining Brillouin spectroscopy, resonant ultrasound spectroscopy, density functional theory and thermal diffuse scattering analysis.