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How to embrace uncertainty in participatory climate change risk management — a roadmap

  • The Earth's future depends on how we manage the manifold risks of climate change (CC). It is state-of-the-art to assume that risk reduction requires participatory management involving a broad range of stakeholders and scientists. However, there is still little knowledge about the optimal design of participatory climate change risk management processes (PRMPs), in particular with respect to considering the multitude of substantial uncertainties that are relevant for PRMPs. To support the many local to regional PRMPs that are necessary for a successful global-scale reduction of CC risks, we present a roadmap for designing such transdisciplinary knowledge integration processes. The roadmap suggests ways in which uncertainties can be comprehensively addressed within a PRMP. We discuss the concept of CC risks and their management and propose an uncertainty framework that distinguishes epistemic, ontological, and linguistic uncertainty as well as ambiguity. Uncertainties relevant for CC risk management are identified. Communicative and modeling methods that support social learning as well as the development of risk management strategies are proposed for each of six phases of a PRMP. Finally, we recommend how to evaluate PRMPs as such evaluations and their publication are paramount for achieving a reduction of CC risks.

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Author:Petra DöllORCiDGND, Patricia Romero-Lankao
URN:urn:nbn:de:hebis:30:3-451318
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1002/2016EF000411
ISSN:2328-4277
Parent Title (English):Earth's future
Publisher:Wiley-Blackwell
Place of publication:Hoboken, NJ
Document Type:Article
Language:English
Year of Completion:2017
Date of first Publication:2017/01/04
Publishing Institution:Universitätsbibliothek Johann Christian Senckenberg
Release Date:2017/11/28
Tag:climate change; participatory methods; participatory process; risk management; uncertainty
Volume:5
Issue:1
Page Number:19
First Page:18
Last Page:36
Note:
© 2016 The Authors. This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs License, which permits use and distribution in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited, the use is non-commercial and no modifications or adaptations are made.
HeBIS-PPN:42871076X
Institutes:Geowissenschaften / Geographie / Geowissenschaften
Dewey Decimal Classification:5 Naturwissenschaften und Mathematik / 55 Geowissenschaften, Geologie / 550 Geowissenschaften
Sammlungen:Universitätspublikationen
Open-Access-Publikationsfonds:Geowissenschaften / Geographie
Licence (German):License LogoCreative Commons - Namensnennung-Nicht kommerziell - Keine Bearbeitung 4.0