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Asset pricing in OLG economies with borrowing constraints and idiosyncratic income risk

  • This paper analyzes how the combination of borrowing constraints and idiosyncratic risk affects the equity premium in an overlapping generations economy. I find that introducing a zero-borrowing constraint in an economy without idiosyncratic risk increases the equity premium by 70 percent, which means that the mechanism described in Constantinides, Donaldson, and Mehra (2002) is dampened because of the large number of generations and production. With social security the effect of the zero-borrowing constraint is a lot weaker. More surprisingly, when I introduce idiosyncratic labor income risk in an economy without a zero-borrowing constraint, the equity premium increases by 50 percent, even though the income shocks are independent of aggregate risk and are not permanent. The reason is that idiosyncratic risk makes the endogenous natural borrowing limits much tighter, so that they have a similar effect to an exogenously imposed zero-borrowing constraint. This intuition is confirmed when I add idiosyncratic risk in an economy with a zero-borrowing constraint: neither the equity premium nor the Sharpe ratio change, because the zero-borrowing constraint is already tighter than the natural borrowing limits that result when idiosyncratic risk is added.

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Metadaten
Verfasserangaben:Daniel Harenberg
URN:urn:nbn:de:hebis:30:3-467674
URL:https://ssrn.com/abstract=3252443
Titel des übergeordneten Werkes (Englisch):SAFE working paper series ; No. 229
Schriftenreihe (Bandnummer):SAFE working paper (229)
Verlag:SAFE
Verlagsort:Frankfurt am Main
Dokumentart:Arbeitspapier
Sprache:Englisch
Jahr der Fertigstellung:2018
Jahr der Erstveröffentlichung:2018
Veröffentlichende Institution:Universitätsbibliothek Johann Christian Senckenberg
Datum der Freischaltung:25.09.2018
Freies Schlagwort / Tag:aggregate risk; equity premium; idiosyncratic risk; lifecycle
Ausgabe / Heft:September 17, 2018
Seitenzahl:53
HeBIS-PPN:439342074
Institute:Wirtschaftswissenschaften / Wirtschaftswissenschaften
Wissenschaftliche Zentren und koordinierte Programme / House of Finance (HoF)
Wissenschaftliche Zentren und koordinierte Programme / Center for Financial Studies (CFS)
Wissenschaftliche Zentren und koordinierte Programme / Sustainable Architecture for Finance in Europe (SAFE)
DDC-Klassifikation:3 Sozialwissenschaften / 33 Wirtschaft / 330 Wirtschaft
Sammlungen:Universitätspublikationen
Lizenz (Deutsch):License LogoDeutsches Urheberrecht