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Acesta excavata (Fabricius, 1779) is a slow growing bivalve from the Limidae family and is often found associated with cold-water coral reefs along the European continental margin. Here we present the compositional variability of frequently used proxy elemental ratios (Mg/ Ca, Sr/Ca, Na/Ca) measured by laser-ablation mass spectrometry (LA-ICP-MS) and com- pare it to in-situ recorded instrumental seawater parameters such as temperature and salin- ity. Shell Mg/Ca measured in the fibrous calcitic shell section was overall not correlated with seawater temperature or salinity; however, some samples show significant correlations with temperature with a sensitivity that was found to be unusually high in comparison to other marine organisms. Mg/Ca and Sr/Ca measured in the fibrous calcitic shell section display significant negative correlations with the linear extension rate of the shell, which indicates strong vital effects in these bivalves. Multiple linear regression analysis indicates that up to 79% of elemental variability is explicable with temperature and salinity as independent pre- dictor values. Yet, the overall results clearly show that the application of Element/Ca (E/Ca) ratios in these bivalves to reconstruct past changes in temperature and salinity is likely to be complicated due to strong vital effects and the effects of organic material embedded in the shell. Therefore, we suggest to apply additional techniques, such as clumped isotopes, in order to exactly determine and quantify the underlying vital effects and possibly account for these. We found differences in the chemical composition between the two calcitic shell lay- ers that are possibly explainable through differences of the crystal morphology. Sr/Ca ratios also appear to be partly controlled by the amount of magnesium, because the small magne- sium ions bend the crystal lattice which increases the space for strontium incorporation. Oxi- dative cleaning with H2O2 did not significantly change the Mg/Ca and Sr/Ca composition of the shell. Na/Ca ratios decreased after the oxidative cleaning, which is most likely a leaching effect and not caused by the removal of organic matter.
Hyrrokkin sarcophaga is a parasitic foraminifera that is commonly found in cold-water coral reefs where it infests the file clam Acesta excavata and the scleractinian coral Desmophyllum pertusum (formerly known as Lophelia pertusa). Here, we present measurements of the trace element and isotopic composition of these parasitic foraminifera, analyzed by inductively coupled optical emission spectrometry (ICP-OES), electron probe microanalysis (EPMA) and mass spectrometry (gas-source MS and inductively-coupled-plasma MS). Our results reveal that the geochemical signature of H. sarcophaga depends on the host organism it infests. Sr / Ca ratios are 1.1 mmol mol−1 higher in H. sarcophaga that infest D. pertusum, which could be an indication that dissolved host carbonate material is utilized in shell calcification, given that the aragonite of D. pertusum has a naturally higher Sr concentration compared to the calcite of A. excavata. Similarly, we measure 3.1 ‰ lower δ13C and 0.25 ‰ lower δ18O values in H. sarcophaga that lived on D. pertusum, which might be caused by the direct uptake of the host's carbonate material with a more negative isotopic composition or different pH regimes in these foraminifera (pH can exert a control on the extent of CO2 hydration/hydroxylation) due to the uptake of body fluids of the host. We also observe higher Mn / Ca ratios in foraminifera that lived on A. excavata but did not penetrate the host shell compared to specimen that penetrated the shell, which could be interpreted as a change in food source, changes in the calcification rate, Rayleigh fractionation or changing oxygen conditions. While our measurements provide an interesting insight into the calcification process of this unusual foraminifera, these data also indicate that the geochemistry of this parasitic foraminifera is unlikely to be a reliable indicator of paleoenvironmental conditions using Sr / Ca, Mn / Ca, δ18O or δ13C unless the host organism is known and its geochemical composition can be accounted for.
Hyrrokkin sarcophaga is a parasitic foraminifer that is commonly found in cold-water coral reefs where it infests the file clam Acesta excavata and the scleractinian coral Lophelia pertusa. Here, we present measurements of the elemental and isotopic composition of this parasitic foraminifer for the first time, analyzed by inductively coupled optical emission spectrometry (ICP-OES), electron probe micro analysis (EPMA) and mass spectrometry (MS). Our results reveal that the geochemical signature of H. sarcophaga depends on the host organism it infests. Sr/Ca ratios are 1.1 mmol mol-1 higher in H. sarcophaga that infest L. pertusa, which could be an indication that dissolved host carbonate material is utilised in shell calcification, given that the aragonite of L. pertusa has a naturally higher Sr concentration compared to the calcite of A. excavata.Similarly, we measure 3.1 ‰ lower δ13C and 0.25 ‰ lower δ18O values in H. sarcophaga that lived on20 L. pertusa, which might be caused by the direct uptake of the host’s carbonate material with a more negative isotopic composition or different pH regimes in these foraminifera (pH can exert a control on the extent of CO2 hydration/hydroxylation) due to the uptake of body fluids of the host. We also observe higher Mn/Ca ratios in foraminifers that lived on A. excavata but did not penetrate the host shell compared to specimen that penetrated the shell, which could be interpreted as a change in food source, changes in the calcification rate, Rayleigh fractionation or changing oxygen conditions. While our measurements provide an interesting insight into the calcification process of this unusual foraminifer, these data also indicate that the geochemistry of this parasitic foraminifer is unlikely to be a reliable indicator of paleoenvironmental conditions using Sr/Ca, Mn/Ca, δ18O or δ13C unless the host organism is known and its geochemical composition can be accounted for.
Geochemical investigations on biogenic carbonates are commonly conducted to reconstruct the environmental conditions of the past. However, different carbonate producers incorporate elements to varying degrees, due to biological vital effects. Detecting and quantifying these effects is crucial to produce reliable reconstructions. These paleoreconstructions are of great importance to evaluate the consequences of our recent climate change and identify control mechanisms on the distribution of endangered species such as Desmophyllum pertusum. In chapter three we tested Mg/Ca, Sr/Ca and Na/Ca ratios on this species, among other coldwater scleractinians, to test if they provide reliable proxy information. The results reveal no apparent control of Mg/Ca or Sr/Ca ratios through seawater temperature, salinity or pH. Na/Ca ratios appear to be partly controlled by the seawater temperature, which is also true for other aragonitic organisms such as warm-water corals and the bivalve Mytilus edulis. However, a large variability complicates possible reconstructions by means of Na/Ca. In addition, we explore different models to explain the apparent temperature effect on Na/Ca ratios based on temperature sensitive Na and Ca pumping enzymes.
The bivalve Acesta excavata is commonly found in cold-water coral reefs among the North Atlantic, together with D. pertusum. Multiple linear regression analysis, presented in chapter four, indicates that up to 79% of the elemental variability in Mg/Ca, Sr/Ca and Na/Ca is explainable with temperature and salinity as independent predictor variables. Vital effects, for instance growth rate effects, are evident and make paleoreconstructions not feasible. Furthermore, organic material embedded in the shell, as well as possible stress effects can drastically change the elemental composition. Removal of these organic matrices from bulk samples for LA-ICP-MS (laser ablation inductively coupled mass spectrometer) measurements by means of oxidative cleaning is not possible, but Na/Ca ratios decrease after this cleaning. This is presumably an effect of leaching and not caused by the removal of organic matrices.
Interesting biogeochemical relations were found in the parasitic foraminifera H. sarcophaga. We report Mg/Ca, Sr/Ca, Na/Ca and Mn/Ca ratios measured in H. sarcophaga from two different host species (A. excavata and D. pertusum) in chapter five. Sr/Ca ratios are significantly higher in foraminifera that lived on D. pertusum. This could indicate that dissolved host material is utilized in shell calcification of H. sarcophaga, given the naturally higher strontium concentration in the aragonite of D. pertusum. Mn/Ca ratios are highest in foraminifera that lived on A. excavata but did not fully penetrate the host’s shell. Most likely, this represents a juvenile stadium of the foraminifera during which it feeds on the organic
periostracum of the bivalve, which is enriched in Mn and Fe. The isotopic compositions are similarly affected, both δ18O and δ13C values are significantly lower in foraminifera that lived 23on D. pertusum compared to specimen that lived on A. excavata. Again, this might represent the uptake of dissolved host material or different pH regimes in the calcifying fluid of the hosts (bivalve < 8, coral > 8) that control the extent of hydration/hydroxylation reactions. Temperature reconstructions are possible using stable oxygen isotopes on this foraminifera species; however, the results are only reliable if the foraminifera lived on A. excavata. Samples of H. sarcophaga from D. pertusum would lead to overestimations of the seawater temperature due to the lower δ18O values.
Apart from biological vital effects, storage and preservation methods can significantly change the geochemical composition of different marine biogenic carbonates. In chapter six this is presented on the example of ethanol preservation, a common technique to allow extended storage of biogenic samples. The investigation reveals a significant decrease of Mg/Ca and Na/Ca ratios even after only 45 days storage in ultrapure ethanol. Sr/Ca ratios on the other hand are not influenced.
Besides temperature, salinity and pH further environmental parameters are important such as nutrient availability, especially for the distribution of cold-water corals. In chapter seven we extend the investigations on A. excavata by including the elemental ratios Ba/Ca, Mn/Ca and P/Ca. We expected P/Ca to be helpful in the otherwise difficult process of dentifying growth increments. Based on our observations we had to refute this theory. P/Ca ratios are not systematically enriched in the vicinity of growth lines. Instead, we found a regular sequence of peaks of Ba/Ca, P/Ca and Mn/Ca. This sequence as well as the peaks in general are potentially caused by equential blooms of different algae, diatoms and other planktonic organisms ...
Im Anschluss an die globale Finanzkrise von 2008 lässt sich in vielen deutschen Städten eine neue Welle der Gentrifizierung beobachten. Am Beispiel des traditionellen Arbeiterviertels Gallus in Frankfurt am Main zielt der Beitrag darauf ab, die gegenwärtigen Verdrängungsprozesse aus dem spezifischen Zusammenspiel von stadtpolitischen Aufwertungsbestrebungen und immobilienwirtschaftlichen Verwertungsstrategien zu erklären. Vertreten wird dabei die These, dass die Frankfurter Stadtpolitik, entsprechend ihrer neoliberalen Ausrichtung, im Gallus jahrelang Gentrifizierungsprozesse und die Entstehung einer Ertragslücke zwischen gegenwärtiger und potenzieller Verwertung aktiv gefördert hat – letztere aber erst jetzt im Zuge der Krise an Relevanz gewinnt. Nahezu idealtypisch kann man daher anhand des Gallus zeigen, dass Gentrifizierung wesentlich von lokalen politischen Kräfteverhältnissen abhängt, wobei der Rhythmus jedoch von immobilienwirtschaftlichen Verwertungszyklen diktiert wird.
Die angespannte Lage am Wohnungsmarkt hat in vielen Städten eine neue Welle von Verdrängungsprozessen induziert und insbesondere die Situation einkommensschwacher Haushalte häufig prekär werden lassen. Angesichts dieser Entwicklungen haben sich vielerorts mietenpolitische Bewegungen konstituiert, die sich für eine Abkehr von einer neoliberalisierten und zunehmend finanzialisierten Wohnungsversorgung einsetzen. Lisa Vollmer nimmt in ihrer Forschungsarbeit zwei solcher Bewegungen in den Blick und fragt danach, wie sich politische Kollektivität in den alltäglichen Praktiken von Mieter*innen in Berlin bzw. New York formiert.
Die lakustrinen Sedimente im Vorotan-Becken (Armenien) wurden palynologisch untersucht. Aus den Ergebnissen konnte die Vegetationsgeschichte im Südlichen Kaukasus während des Frühpleistozäns teilweise rekonstruiert werden.
Bei den Sedimenten handelt es sich um diatomeenreiche Tone, Silte und Feinsande, in denen Pollen gut und pflanzliche Makroreste ausgezeichnet erhalten sind. Die Datierung ist durch die Kombination von Paläomagnetik und 39Ar/40Ar-Methode eindeutig: Die Sedimente decken den Beginn der „mid Pleistocene transition“ (1?110?–?960 ka) ab.
An zehn Aufschlüssen wurden insgesamt 506 Sedimentproben genommen und die darin enthaltenen Pollen untersucht. So konnten insgesamt 64 Taxa nachgewiesen werden. Sie wurden in Pollenprofilen zusammengefasst und ökologisch bewertet. Die erhobenen Daten wurden zudem einer Faktorenanalyse und einer Clusteranalyse unterzogen, deren Ergebnisse ebenfalls in die Pollenprofile eingingen.
Die Pollenprofile lassen deutlich regionale Vegetationszyklen während des Frühpleistozäns erkennen. Diese Zyklen werden ausführlich beschrieben und mit Ergebnissen anderer Autoren aus dem Mittelmeerraum verglichen. Auch ein Bezug zur rezenten Vegetation im Südlichen Kaukasus und den angrenzenden Gebieten wird hergestellt.
Die Paläovegetation im Südlichen Kaukasus ist demnach während des Frühpleistozäns geprägt von einem Vegetationsmosaik aus Grassteppe und offenen Wäldern. Je nach Klima lassen sich Einflüsse von angrenzenden Vegetationszonen erkennen: borealer Nadelwald der Höhenlagen des Kaukasus, thermophiler Laubwald der euxinischen und hyrkanischen Wälder sowie xerotherme Steppe des Nordiran.
Während der Interglaziale herrscht eine Waldsteppe aus thermophilem Laubwald (z.?B. Quercus, Carpinus, Ulmus, Zelkova, Tilia) vor, in der bei starken Erwärmungsphasen die Grassteppe deutlich dominiert und die Wälder wohl an Nordhänge und in Uferbereiche zurückgedrängt werden. In den Glazialphasen finden sich zunehmend Koniferen in der Vegetation (z.?B. Tsuga, Abies, Picea, Pinus) – bis hin zu einem nahezu geschlossenen Kiefernwald am Ende des ersten lang andauernden Glazials MIS 30.
Es zeigt sich, dass sich die einzelnen Klimazyklen in der Ausprägung der Vegetation signifikant unterscheiden. Hierbei spielt sowohl die Amplitude der Erwärmung als auch die Dauer der jeweiligen Phase eine Rolle.
Der Vergleich mit anderen Untersuchungen zeigt, dass die Vegetationszyklen im Südlichen Kaukasus teilweise deutlich anders verlaufen als im westlichen, zentralen und östlichen Mittelmeerraum. Entlang einer Ost-West-Achse ist hier ein „Vegetationsgradient“ zu erkennen.
Das hat Auswirkungen auf die Interpretation der Ausbreitung früher Menschen aus Afrika nach Eurasien. Es ist davon auszugehen, dass sich nicht jeder Vegetationszyklus des Frühpleistozäns gleichermaßen gut für ein Vordringen nach Eurasien eignete. Geeignete Bedingungen (offene Landschaft, Vegetationsmosaik, warmes Klima) herrschten im Südlichen Kaukasus vor allem während stark ausgeprägter Interglaziale. Dagegen brachten lang anhaltende Glazialphasen wohl eher lebensfeindlichere Bedingungen für Homo erectus.
Weil in den südlichen Regionen Europas teilweise eine stark abweichende Vegetation während der unterschiedlichen Klimaphasen vorherrschte, ist es naheliegend, dass der Südliche Kaukasus für die frühen Menschen eine Rolle als Refugium spielte.
Deutlich zeichnen sich in den Ergebnissen Veränderungen in der Vegetation beim Übergang von den obliquitätsdominierten 41-ka-Klimazyklen zu den exzentrizitätsbestimmten 100-ka-Zyklen ab („mid Pleistocene transition“). Diese Veränderungen haben sich sicherlich auch auf die Population der Menschen ausgewirkt und größere Wanderbewegungen und/oder Anpassungen hervorgerufen. Möglicherweise haben in dieser drastischen Veränderung sogar kulturelle Entwicklungen ihren Anfang – zum Beispiel die Nutzbarmachung des Feuers.
Droughts are anticipated to intensify in many parts of the world due to climate change. However, the issue of drought definition, namely the diversity of drought indices, makes it difficult to compare drought assessments. This issue is widely known, but its relative importance has never been quantitatively evaluated in comparison to other sources of uncertainty. Here, encompassing three drought categories (meteorological, agricultural, and hydrological droughts) with four temporal scales of interest, we evaluated changes in the drought frequency using multi-model and multi-scenario simulations to identify areas where the definition issue could result in pronounced uncertainties and to what extent. We investigated the disagreement in the signs of changes between drought definitions and decomposed the variance into four main factors: drought definitions, greenhouse gas concentration scenarios, global climate models, and global water models, as well as their interactions. The results show that models were the primary sources of variance over 82% of the global land area. On the other hand, the drought definition was the dominant source of variance in the remaining 17%, especially in parts of northern high-latitudes. Our results highlight specific regions where differences in drought definitions result in a large spread among projections, including areas showing opposite signs of significant changes. At a global scale, 7% of the variance resulted independently from the definition issue, and that value increased to 44% when 1st and 2nd order interactions were considered. The quantitative results suggest that by clarifying hydrological processes or sectors of interest, one could avoid these uncertainties in drought assessments to obtain a clearer picture of future drought change.
Tectonics and geothermal gradients from subduction to collision in the NW Variscan Iberian Massif
(2022)
The earliest tectonometamorphic record of tectonic slices incorporated to the base of an orogen holds the key to understand how an orogen is built. The tectonic pile of the NW Iberian section of the Variscan Orogen includes tectonic slices separated by crustal-scale thrusts. The earliest tectonometamorphic record in the uppermost parautochthon is calculated at 11–14 kbar and 450–500°C (P-T gradient about 13°C/km), suggesting a subduction-related metamorphic recrystallization at lower pressure than the overlying Lower Allochthon. Early conditions calculated in the autochthon (9–10 kbar and 425–450°C; 16°C/km) point to a relatively ‘cold’ collisional setting. Higher thermal gradients obtained from some sections of the autochthon (11–12 kbar and 700–725°C; 21°C/km) and the Lower Parautochthon (7.5 kbar and 550–700°C; 24–31°C/km), correspond to more advanced and ‘hot’ stages of collision. New U–Pb monazite geochronology indicates a 318–311 Ma age for the final formation of HT domes in the region. We propose the rapid decrease in P-T gradient (from <10 to 16°C/km) documents a fail to sustain further burial along a regular subduction zone. We consider the subsequent increase in the geothermal gradient (from 16 to 31°C/km) as the culmination of previous crustal accretion and the onset of crustal underthrusting and later processes in a collisional stage. We propose these switches in the early tectonometamorphic record of individual tectonic slices as potential markers to track the transition from subduction to collision in collisional orogens.
Finanzielle Armut prägt Mobilitätspraktiken und kann dabei zum Prozess von mobilitätsbezogener sozialer Exklusion beitragen. Zu den Personen, deren Armutsrisiko besonders hoch ist, zählen in Deutschland Haushalte mit Kindern, insbesondere Alleinerziehende. Ältere Menschen haben nicht die höchste Armutsgefährdung, jedoch besteht bei ihnen das Risiko von Verharrung in Armut, da die Möglichkeiten, die finanzielle Situation aus eigener Kraft zu ändern mit zunehmendem Alter sinken.
Um ein tieferes Verständnis davon zu erhalten, wie finanzielle Armut die Mobilitätspraktiken und soziale Teilhabe von Haushalten mit Kindern sowie älteren Menschen prägt, wurden mit diesen beiden Personengruppen problemzentrierte Interviews in Ronnenberg (Region Hannover) geführt und analysiert. Die Ergebnisse belegen, dass, wenngleich alle Befragten mit ähnlich geringen finanziellen Ressourcen haushalten und Verzicht sowie Abwägungsprozesse notwendig sind, sich ihre Mobilitätspraktiken und Alltagsbewältigungsstrategien unterscheiden, was sich in zwei Typologien widerspiegelt. Erstens, eine Typologie der Mobilitätspraktiken von Haushalten mit Kindern: (i) autozentriert, (ii) autoreduziert, (iii) ÖPNV-orientiert und (iv) nichtmotorisiert. Zweitens, eine Typologie älterer Menschen anhand ihrer Mobilitätspraktiken: (i) aktive ältere Menschen mit vielseitigen sozialen Interaktionen, (ii) nachbarschaftsorientierte ältere Menschen mit lokalen Kontakten und (iii) ältere Menschen, die überwiegend zu Hause sind und wenig soziale Kontakte haben.
Um herauszufinden, inwiefern mobilitätsbezogene Barrieren der sozialen Teilhabe reduziert werden können, wurden fünf Maßnahmen bezüglich ihrer Wirkung auf die Mobilitätspraktiken einkommensarmer Haushalte mit Kindern untersucht: einerseits die Wirkung des 9-Euro-Tickets anhand von problemzentrierten Interviews mit einkommensarmen Haushalten mit Kindern, andererseits anhand von Expert:inneninterviews die Wirkung von Radlernkursen für Frauen mit Migrationshintergrund, eines Mietertickets, eines Quartierstickets und der Verbesserung der Nahraum- und Aufenthaltsqualität am Beispiel von Tempo 30. Die Ergebnisse zum 9-Euro-Ticket belegen, dass ein erschwingliches ÖPNV-Ticket erheblich zur Reduzierung mobilitätsbezogener Barrieren der sozialen Teilhabe im Armutskontext beiträgt. Die Expert:inneninterviews zeigen auf, dass eine Förderung des Umweltverbunds zielführend ist, um zu einer sozial-ökologischen Verkehrswende beizutragen und insbesondere Maßnahmenbündel Wirkung auf die Reduzierung von mobilitätsbezogenen Barrieren der sozialen Teilhabe entfalten.
Die Erkenntnisse dieser Dissertation ergänzen den wissenschaftlichen Forschungstand um ein tiefergehendes Verständnis der Wirkung von finanzieller Armut auf die Mobilitätspraktiken und soziale Teilhabe von Haushalten mit Kindern und älteren Menschen und helfen dabei, Maßnahmen zur Reduzierung mobilitätsbezogener Barrieren der sozialen Teilhabe zu konzipieren und umzusetzen.
Seasonal forecasting systems still have difficulties predicting temperature over continental regions, while their performance is better over some maritime regions. On the other hand, the land surface is a substantial source of (sub-)seasonal predictability. A crucial land surface component in focus here is the snow cover, which stores water and modulates the surface radiation balance. This paper’s goal is to attribute snow cover seasonal forecasting biases and lack of skill to either initialization or parameterization errors. For this purpose, we compare the snow representation in five seasonal forecasting systems (from DWD, ECMWF, Météo-France, CMCC, and ECCC) and their performances in predicting snow and 2-m temperature over a Siberian region against ERA5 reanalysis and station data. Although all systems use similar atmospheric and land initialization approaches and data, their snow and temperature biases differ in sign and amplitude. Too-large initial snow biases persist over the forecast period, delaying and prolonging the melting phase. The simplest snow scheme (used in DWD’s system) shows too-early and fast melting in spring. However, systems including multi-layer snow schemes (Météo-France and CMCC) do not necessarily perform better. Both initialization and parameterization are causes of snow biases, but, depending on the system, one can be more dominant.
Living on the edge: environmental variability of a shallow late Holocene cold-water coral mound
(2022)
Similar to their tropical counterparts, cold-water corals (CWCs) are able to build large three-dimensional reef structures. These unique ecosystems are at risk due to ongoing climate change. In particular, ocean warming, ocean acidification and changes in the hydrological cycle may jeopardize the existence of CWCs. In order to predict how CWCs and their reefs or mounds will develop in the near future one important strategy is to study past fossil CWC mounds and especially shallow CWC ecosystems as they experience a greater environmental variability compared to other deep-water CWC ecosystems. We present results from a CWC mound off southern Norway. A sediment core drilled from this relatively shallow (~ 100 m) CWC mound exposes in full detail hydrographical changes during the late Holocene, which were crucial for mound build-up. We applied computed tomography, 230Th/U dating, and foraminiferal geochemical proxy reconstructions of bottom-water-temperature (Mg/Ca-based BWT), δ18O for seawater density, and the combination of both to infer salinity changes. Our results demonstrate that the CWC mound formed in the late Holocene between 4 kiloannum (ka) and 1.5 ka with an average aggradation rate of 104 cm/kiloyears (kyr), which is significantly lower than other Holocene Norwegian mounds. The reconstructed BWTMg/Ca and seawater density exhibit large variations throughout the entire period of mound formation, but are strikingly similar to modern in situ observations in the nearby Tisler Reef. We argue that BWT does not exert a primary control on CWC mound formation. Instead, strong salinity and seawater density variation throughout the entire mound sequence appears to be controlled by the interplay between the Atlantic Water (AW) inflow and the overlying, outflowing Baltic-Sea water. CWC growth and mound formation in the NE Skagerrak was supported by strong current flow, oxygen replenishment, the presence of a strong boundary layer and larval dispersal through the AW, but possibly inhibited by the influence of fresh Baltic Water during the late Holocene. Our study therefore highlights that modern shallow Norwegian CWC reefs may be particularly endangered due to changes in water-column stratification associated with increasing net precipitation caused by climate change.
We evaluate the influence of a forest parametrization on the simulation of the boundary layer flow over moderate complex terrain in the context of the Perdigão 2017 field campaign. The numerical simulations are performed using the Weather Research and Forecasting model in large eddy simulation mode (WRF-LES). The short-term, high-resolution (40 m horizontal grid spacing) and long-term (200 m horizontal grid spacing) WRF-LES are evaluated for an integration time of 12 h and 1.5 months, respectively, with and without forest parameterization. The short-term simulations focus on low-level jet events over the valley, while the long-term simulations cover the whole intensive observation period (IOP) of the field campaign. The results are validated using lidar and meteorological tower observations. The mean diurnal cycle during the IOP shows a significant improvement of the along-valley wind speed and the wind direction when using the forest parametrization. However, the drag imposed by the parametrization results in an underestimation of the cross-valley wind speed, which can be attributed to a poor representation of the land surface characteristics. The evaluation of the high-resolution WRF-LES shows a positive influence of the forest parametrization on the simulated winds in the first 500 m above the surface.
We evaluate the influence of a forest parametrization on the simulation of the boundary layer flow over moderate complex terrain in the context of the Perdigão 2017 field campaign. The numerical simulations are performed using the Weather Research and Forecasting model in large eddy simulation mode (WRF-LES). The short-term, high-resolution (40 m horizontal grid spacing) and long-term (200 m horizontal grid spacing) WRF-LES are evaluated for an integration time of 12 h and 1.5 months, respectively, with and without forest parameterization. The short-term simulations focus on low-level jet events over the valley, while the long-term simulations cover the whole intensive observation period (IOP) of the field campaign. The results are validated using lidar and meteorological tower observations. The mean diurnal cycle during the IOP shows a significant improvement of the along-valley wind speed and the wind direction when using the forest parametrization. However, the drag imposed by the parametrization results in an underestimation of the cross-valley wind speed, which can be attributed to a poor representation of the land surface characteristics. The evaluation of the high-resolution WRF-LES shows a positive influence of the forest parametrization on the simulated winds in the first 500 m above the surface.
Convective rain cell properties and the resulting precipitation scaling in a warm-temperate climate
(2022)
Convective precipitation events have been shown to intensify at rates exceeding the Clausius–Clapeyron rate (CC rate) of ca. 7% K−1 under current climate conditions. In this study, we relate atmospheric variables (low-level dew point temperature, convective available potential energy, and vertical wind shear), which are regarded as ingredients for severe deep convection, to properties of convective rain cells (cell area, maximum precipitation intensity, lifetime, precipitation sum, and cell speed). The rain cell properties are obtained from a rain gauge-adjusted radar dataset in a mid-latitude region, which is characterized by a temperate climate with warm summers (Germany). Different Lagrangian cell properties scale with dew point temperature at varying rates. While the maximum precipitation intensity of cells scales consistently at the CC rate, the area and precipitation sum per cell scale at varying rates above the CC rate. We show that this super-CC scaling is caused by a covarying increase of convective available potential energy with dew point temperature. Wind shear increases the precipitation sum per cell mainly by increasing the spatial cell extent. From a Eulerian point of view, this increase is partly compensated by a higher cell velocity, which leads to Eulerian precipitation scaling rates close to and slightly above the CC rate. Thus, Eulerian scaling rates of convective precipitation are modulated by convective available potential energy and vertical wind shear, making it unlikely that present scaling rates can be applied to future climate conditions. Furthermore, we show that cells that cause heavy precipitation at fixed locations occur at low vertical wind shear and, thus, move relatively slowly compared to typical cells.
Extreme convective precipitation is expected to increase with global warming. However, the rate of increase and the understanding of contributing processes remain highly uncertain. We investigated characteristics of convective rain cells like area, intensity, and lifetime as simulated by a convection-permitting climate model in the area of Germany under historical (1976–2005) and future (end-of-century, RCP8.5 scenario) conditions. To this end, a tracking algorithm was applied to 5-min precipitation output. While the number of convective cells is virtually similar under historical and future conditions, there are more intense and larger cells in the future. This yields an increase in hourly precipitation extremes, although mean precipitation decreases. The relative change in the frequency distributions of area, intensity, and precipitation sum per cell is highest for the most extreme percentiles, suggesting that extreme events intensify the most. Furthermore, we investigated the temperature and moisture scaling of cell characteristics. The temperature scaling drops off at high temperatures, with a shift in drop-off towards higher temperatures in the future, allowing for higher peak values. In contrast, dew point temperature scaling shows consistent rates across the whole dew point range. Cell characteristics scale at varying rates, either below (mean intensity), at about (maximum intensity and area), or above (precipitation sum) the Clausius–Clapeyron rate. Thus, the widely investigated extreme precipitation scaling at fixed locations is a complex product of the scaling of different cell characteristics. The dew point scaling rates and absolute values of the scaling curves in historical and future conditions are closest for the highest percentiles. Therefore, near-surface humidity provides a good predictor for the upper limit of for example, maximum intensity and total precipitation of individual convective cells. However, the frequency distribution of the number of cells depending on dew point temperature changes in the future, preventing statistical inference of extreme precipitation from near-surface humidity.
Extreme convective precipitation events are among the most severe hazards in central Europe and are expected to intensify under global warming. However, the degree of intensification and the underlying processes are still uncertain. In this thesis, recent advances in continuous, radar-based precipitation monitoring and convection-permitting climate modeling are used to investigate Lagrangian properties of convective rain cells such as precipitation intensity, cell area, and precipitation sum and their relationship to large-scale, environmental conditions.
Firstly, convective precipitation objects are tracked in a gauge-adjusted radar-data set and the properties of these cells are related to large-scale environmental variables to investigate the observed super-Clausius-Clapeyron (CC) scaling of convective extreme precipitation. The Lagrangian precipitation sum of convective cells increases with dew point temperature at rates well above the CC-rate with increasing rates for higher dew point temperatures. These varying, high rates are caused by a covarying increase of CAPE with dew point temperature as well as the effect of high vertical wind shear causing an increase in cell area and thus precipitation sum. At the same time, cells move faster at high vertical wind shear so that Eulerian scaling rates are lower than Lagrangian but still above the CC-rate. The results show that wind shear and static instability need to be taken into account when transferring precipitation scaling under current climate conditions to future conditions. Secondly, the representation of convective cell properties in the convection-permitting climate model COSMO-CLM is evaluated. The model can simulate the observed frequency distributions of cell properties such as lifetime, area, mean and maximum intensity, and precipitation sum. The increase of area and intensity with lifetime is also well captured despite an underestimation of the intensity of the most severe cells. Furthermore, the model can represent the temperature scaling of intensity, area, and precipitation sum but fails to simulate the observed increase of lifetime. Thus, the model is suitable to study climatologies of convective storms in Germany. Thirdly, two COSMO-CLM projections at the end of the century under emission scenario RCP8.5 were investigated. While the number of convective cells and their lifetime remain approximately constant compared to present conditions, intensity and area increase strongly. The relative increase of intensity and area is largest for the highest percentiles meaning that extreme events intensify the most. The characteristic afternoon maximum of convective precipitation is damped, and shifted to later times of day which leads to an increase of nighttime precipitation in the future. Scaling rates of cell properties with dew point temperature are nearly identical in present and future in the simulation driven by the EC-Earth model which means that the upper limit of cell properties like intensity, area, and precipitation sum could be predicted from near-surface dew point temperature. However, this result could not be reproduced by the simulation driven by MIROC5 and needs further investigation.
The climate system is one of the classical examples of a complex dynamical system consisting of interacting sub-systems through mass, momentum, and energy exchange across various spatial and temporal scales. This thesis aims to detect and quantify sub-component interactions from an information exchange (IE) perspective. For this purpose, IE estimators derived from information theory are explored and applied to the available climate data obtained from observations, reanalysis, global and regional climate models. Specifically, this thesis investigates the usefulness of information theory methods for process-oriented climate model evaluation.
Firstly, methods derived from the concepts of information theory such as transfer entropy and information flow along with their linear and non-linear estimation techniques are initially tested and applied to idealized two-dimensional dynamical systems. The results revealed an expected direction and magnitude of IE providing insights into underlying dynamics. However, as expected the linear estimators are robust for linear systems but fail for non-linear systems. Though the non-linear estimators (kernel and kraskov) showed expected results for all the idealized systems, their free tuning parameters are to be tested for consistent results. Moreover, these methods are sensitive to the available time series length.
A real world example case study involving the dynamics between the Indian and Pacific oceans revealed a physically consistent bi-directional IE. However, unexpected IE was detected in the example of North Atlantic and European air temperatures indicating hidden drivers. Though IE provides insights into system dynamics, the availability of time series length and the system at hand must be carefully taken into account before inferring any possible interpretations of the results.
Quantifying the IE from El-Ni\~{n}o southern oscillation (ENSO) and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) to the Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall (ISMR) with the observational and reanalysis data sets revealed that both ENSO and IOD are synergistic predictors for the inter-annual variability of the ISMR over central India i.e., the monsoon core region. Though the investigated three Global Climate Models (GCM) could not reveal the underlying IE dynamics of ENSO, IOD, and ISMR, a Regional Climate Model (RCM) simulation downscaling one of the GCMs with realistic large scale signals across the lateral boundaries showed good agreement with the observations.
Evaluating a coupled regional climate modeling system driven by two different global data sets with IE estimators revealed significant differences between the process chains linking the north-west Mediterranean sea surface temperatures, evaporation, wind speed, and the Vb-cyclone induced precipitation over Danube, Odra, and Elbe catchments in the historical period (1951-2005). Detailed investigation revealed that the north-west Mediterranean Sea in the coupled regional simulation driven by ERA-20C reanalysis corresponded to the Vb-cyclone precipitation over the three catchments while no such correspondence is noted in the EC-EARTH driven simulation. This discrepancy is attributed to the inheritance of the simulation biases from GCM into the RCM. In the future period (1965-2099), no significant changes in the processes are noted from the simulation.
Overall, this thesis used IE estimators in investigating the underlying dynamics of climate system and climate models. The estimators proved useful in providing insights into climate system dynamics assisting in a process based climate model evaluation.