It’s not time to make a change: Sovereign fragility and the corporate credit risk
- Relying on a perspective borrowed from monetary policy announcements and introducing an econometric twist in the traditional event study analysis, we document the existence of an .event risk transfer., namely a significant credit risk transmission from the sovereign to the corporate sector after a sovereign rating downgrade. We find that after the delivery of the downgrade, corporate CDS spreads rise by 36% per annum and there is a widespread contagion across countries, in particular among those which were most exposed to the sovereign debt crisis. This effect exists on top of the standard relation between sovereign and corporate credit risk.
| Author: | Fabio Fornariy, Andrea ZaghiniORCiDGND |
|---|---|
| URN: | urn:nbn:de:hebis:30:3-573904 |
| URL: | https://ssrn.com/abstract=3785620 |
| Parent Title (English): | Center for Financial Studies (Frankfurt am Main): CFS working paper series ; No. 652 |
| Series (Serial Number): | CFS working paper series (652) |
| Publisher: | Center for Financial Studies |
| Place of publication: | Frankfurt, M. |
| Document Type: | Working Paper |
| Language: | English |
| Year of Completion: | 2021 |
| Year of first Publication: | 2021 |
| Publishing Institution: | Universitätsbibliothek Johann Christian Senckenberg |
| Release Date: | 2021/02/16 |
| Tag: | CDS spreads; corporate credit risk; sovereign rating |
| Page Number: | 45 |
| HeBIS-PPN: | 476582903 |
| Institutes: | Wirtschaftswissenschaften / Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
| Wissenschaftliche Zentren und koordinierte Programme / Center for Financial Studies (CFS) | |
| Dewey Decimal Classification: | 3 Sozialwissenschaften / 33 Wirtschaft / 330 Wirtschaft |
| Sammlungen: | Universitätspublikationen |
| Licence (German): |  Deutsches Urheberrecht |
